Tochigi City vs Kochi United analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
20.4%
Win probability
0.92
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.3%
3-0
1%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.4%
2-0
3.1%
3-1
1.6%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
5.1%
1-0
6.7%
2-1
5.3%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
13.6%
24%
Draw
0-0
7.3%
1-1
11.4%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
24%
55.6%
Win probability
1.7
Expected goals
0-1
12.4%
1-2
9.7%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
24.9%
0-2
10.5%
1-3
5.5%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
17.1%
0-3
5.9%
1-4
2.3%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
8.6%
0-4
2.5%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.1%
-4
3.4%
0-5
0.9%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1.1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+374%
+28%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
2º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
41
2º
14º
3º
48
1º
2º
1º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
1º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
|
1º
|
48 | 62 |
1º
|
90.5% | |
|
3º
|
36 | 53 |
2º
|
32% | |
|
|
2º
|
41 | 52 |
3º
|
26% | |
|
4º
|
35 | 49 |
4º
|
23% | |
|
5º
|
34 | 49 |
5º
|
18.5% | |
|
6º
|
33 | 44 |
6º
|
15% | |
|
9º
|
30 | 44 |
7º
|
19.5% | |
|
7º
|
33 | 44 |
8º
|
19% | |
|
8º
|
31 | 42 |
9º
|
20.5% | |
|
10º
|
30 | 41 |
10º
|
21% | |
|
11º
|
29 | 40 |
11º
|
25.5% | |
|
12º
|
23 | 34 |
12º
|
31.5% | |
|
13º
|
23 | 31 |
13º
|
36% | |
|
14º
|
18 | 26 |
14º
|
24.5% | |
|
15º
|
17 | 25 |
15º
|
26.5% | |
|
16º
|
16 | 21 |
16º
|
59.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
6% | 90.5% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
41% | 6.5% |
|
Mid-table
|
53% | 3% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Tochigi City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Mar. 2024 |
HON
0 - 2
TCF
64%
21%
15%
|
27 | 43 | 16 | 0 |
| 16 Mar. 2024 |
TCF
2 - 1
TIA
18%
22%
61%
|
23 | 46 | 23 | +4 |
| 10 Mar. 2024 |
MIO
3 - 1
TCF
76%
15%
9%
|
23 | 50 | 27 | 0 |
| 07 Jun. 2023 |
KAW
3 - 1
TCF
93%
6%
1%
|
24 | 83 | 59 | -1 |
| 20 May. 2023 |
TCF
4 - 1
MAR
9%
17%
74%
|
10 | 50 | 40 | +14 |
Matches
Kochi United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Mar. 2024 |
KUS
3 - 0
YOK
48%
27%
25%
|
53 | 49 | 4 | 0 |
| 17 Mar. 2024 |
KUS
1 - 0
REA
42%
29%
29%
|
52 | 53 | 1 | +1 |
| 10 Mar. 2024 |
KUS
3 - 0
VEK
35%
29%
36%
|
51 | 54 | 3 | +1 |
| 26 Nov. 2023 |
VER
0 - 0
KUS
52%
25%
23%
|
51 | 55 | 4 | 0 |
| 19 Nov. 2023 |
KUS
2 - 2
SUN
44%
27%
29%
|
51 | 48 | 3 | 0 |