Tochigi City vs TIAMO Hirakata analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
17.7%
Win probability
0.94
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.3%
3-0
0.8%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.2%
2-0
2.5%
3-1
1.5%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
4.4%
1-0
5.3%
2-1
4.8%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
11.8%
21.6%
Draw
0-0
5.6%
1-1
10.2%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.6%
60.7%
Win probability
1.94
Expected goals
0-1
10.9%
1-2
9.9%
2-3
3%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
24.3%
0-2
10.6%
1-3
6.4%
2-4
1.5%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
18.6%
0-3
6.8%
1-4
3.1%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
-3
10.6%
0-4
3.3%
1-5
1.2%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
4.7%
0-5
1.3%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0.1%
-5
1.7%
0-6
0.4%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.5%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+374%
+2%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
2º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
41
2º
14º
3º
29
2º
12º
11º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
11º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
48 | 62 |
1º
|
90.5% | |
|
3º
|
36 | 53 |
2º
|
32% | |
|
|
2º
|
41 | 52 |
3º
|
26% | |
|
4º
|
35 | 49 |
4º
|
23% | |
|
5º
|
34 | 49 |
5º
|
18.5% | |
|
6º
|
33 | 44 |
6º
|
15% | |
|
9º
|
30 | 44 |
7º
|
19.5% | |
|
7º
|
33 | 44 |
8º
|
19% | |
|
8º
|
31 | 42 |
9º
|
20.5% | |
|
10º
|
30 | 41 |
10º
|
21% | |
|
|
11º
|
29 | 40 |
11º
|
25.5% | |
|
12º
|
23 | 34 |
12º
|
31.5% | |
|
13º
|
23 | 31 |
13º
|
36% | |
|
14º
|
18 | 26 |
14º
|
24.5% | |
|
15º
|
17 | 25 |
15º
|
26.5% | |
|
16º
|
16 | 21 |
16º
|
59.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
6% | 0% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
41% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
53% | 100% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Tochigi City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Mar. 2024 |
MIO
3 - 1
TCF
76%
15%
9%
|
23 | 50 | 27 | 0 |
| 07 Jun. 2023 |
KAW
3 - 1
TCF
93%
6%
1%
|
24 | 83 | 59 | -1 |
| 20 May. 2023 |
TCF
4 - 1
MAR
9%
17%
74%
|
10 | 50 | 40 | +14 |
| 09 Jun. 2021 |
KAR
3 - 0
TCF
93%
6%
1%
|
11 | 76 | 65 | -1 |
| 26 May. 2021 |
TCF
9 - 0
NAF
60%
20%
21%
|
9 | 6 | 3 | +2 |
Matches
TIAMO Hirakata
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Mar. 2024 |
TIA
1 - 1
YOK
48%
24%
29%
|
47 | 48 | 1 | 0 |
| 26 Nov. 2023 |
TIA
2 - 0
SON
37%
24%
39%
|
45 | 51 | 6 | +2 |
| 19 Nov. 2023 |
MIO
2 - 0
TIA
53%
22%
25%
|
46 | 49 | 3 | -1 |
| 12 Nov. 2023 |
VER
1 - 1
TIA
54%
24%
22%
|
46 | 54 | 8 | 0 |
| 05 Nov. 2023 |
TIA
1 - 4
HON
20%
23%
57%
|
46 | 65 | 19 | 0 |