Tocha vs São João Ver analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
31.3%
Win probability
1.33
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1%
3-0
2%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.4%
2-0
4.6%
3-1
3.3%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
8.9%
1-0
6.9%
2-1
7.5%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
17.6%
24.2%
Draw
0-0
5.2%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
6.1%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.2%
44.5%
Win probability
1.63
Expected goals
0-1
8.4%
1-2
9.2%
2-3
3.3%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
21.6%
0-2
6.9%
1-3
5%
2-4
1.4%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
13.4%
0-3
3.7%
1-4
2%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0.1%
-3
6.3%
0-4
1.5%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
2.3%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.7%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+26%
+43%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Tocha
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Apr. 2013 |
ACV
1 - 1
TOC
79%
14%
6%
|
26 | 53 | 27 | 0 |
| 30 Mar. 2013 |
TOC
1 - 1
ESP
16%
23%
62%
|
25 | 52 | 27 | +1 |
| 24 Mar. 2013 |
TOC
1 - 1
COI
26%
24%
50%
|
24 | 37 | 13 | +1 |
| 17 Mar. 2013 |
CIN
1 - 1
TOC
76%
16%
8%
|
24 | 45 | 21 | 0 |
| 10 Mar. 2013 |
TOC
0 - 1
TOU
32%
25%
42%
|
25 | 34 | 9 | -1 |
Matches
São João Ver
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Apr. 2013 |
SAO
0 - 1
COI
47%
24%
29%
|
35 | 36 | 1 | 0 |
| 30 Mar. 2013 |
CIN
1 - 2
SAO
65%
20%
15%
|
33 | 44 | 11 | +2 |
| 24 Mar. 2013 |
SAO
1 - 1
TOU
48%
24%
29%
|
33 | 36 | 3 | 0 |
| 17 Mar. 2013 |
BUS
2 - 0
SAO
37%
24%
39%
|
35 | 30 | 5 | -2 |
| 10 Mar. 2013 |
SAO
2 - 5
SOU
52%
23%
25%
|
37 | 35 | 2 | -2 |