Tocantis Miracema vs Santos AP analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
33.2%
Win probability
1.5
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.4%
3-0
2.2%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
0.1%
+3
4%
2-0
4.4%
3-1
3.8%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
9.7%
1-0
5.8%
2-1
7.6%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
17.6%
23.1%
Draw
0-0
3.9%
1-1
10.2%
2-2
6.7%
3-3
1.9%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
23.1%
43.7%
Win probability
1.75
Expected goals
0-1
6.8%
1-2
8.9%
2-3
3.9%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
-1
20.6%
0-2
5.9%
1-3
5.2%
2-4
1.7%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
13.1%
0-3
3.5%
1-4
2.3%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
-3
6.4%
0-4
1.5%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
2.5%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.8%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Tocantis Miracema
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Jun. 2017 |
COR
1 - 1
TMI
56%
20%
24%
|
32 | 34 | 2 | 0 |
| 04 Jun. 2017 |
TMI
1 - 0
COR
39%
22%
38%
|
32 | 36 | 4 | 0 |
| 28 May. 2017 |
SAN
5 - 2
TMI
63%
19%
18%
|
33 | 40 | 7 | -1 |
| 21 May. 2017 |
TMI
1 - 3
ALT
17%
23%
61%
|
35 | 51 | 16 | -2 |
| 17 Jun. 2007 |
GUR
1 - 1
TMI
61%
20%
19%
|
33 | 36 | 3 | +2 |
Matches
Santos AP
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Jun. 2017 |
SAN
1 - 1
ALT
27%
25%
48%
|
40 | 49 | 9 | 0 |
| 03 Jun. 2017 |
ALT
1 - 2
SAN
73%
17%
10%
|
40 | 50 | 10 | 0 |
| 28 May. 2017 |
SAN
5 - 2
TMI
63%
19%
18%
|
40 | 33 | 7 | 0 |
| 21 May. 2017 |
COR
1 - 0
SAN
41%
26%
33%
|
42 | 37 | 5 | -2 |
| 19 Apr. 2017 |
PAY
3 - 1
SAN
75%
17%
8%
|
43 | 64 | 21 | -1 |