Copa Verde Last 16
Global 2-7
Tocantins vs Rio Branco ES analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
23.5%
Win probability
1.1
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.5%
3-0
1.3%
4-1
0.6%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
2%
2-0
3.4%
3-1
2.2%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
0.1%
+2
6.3%
1-0
6.3%
2-1
6.1%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
14.6%
23.4%
Draw
0-0
5.7%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
23.4%
53.1%
Win probability
1.77
Expected goals
0-1
10.1%
1-2
9.8%
2-3
3.2%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
23.6%
0-2
8.9%
1-3
5.8%
2-4
1.4%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
16.2%
0-3
5.2%
1-4
2.5%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
8.3%
0-4
2.3%
1-5
0.9%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
3.4%
0-5
0.8%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Tocantins
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Jun. 2016 |
TOC
2 - 3
GUR
50%
24%
26%
|
32 | 33 | 1 | 0 |
| 18 Jun. 2016 |
GUR
0 - 0
TOC
48%
24%
29%
|
32 | 33 | 1 | 0 |
| 16 Jun. 2016 |
TOC
1 - 1
PAR
62%
21%
17%
|
32 | 27 | 5 | 0 |
| 12 Jun. 2016 |
PAR
0 - 0
TOC
35%
24%
41%
|
32 | 26 | 6 | 0 |
| 04 Jun. 2016 |
PAL
0 - 2
TOC
31%
25%
44%
|
31 | 25 | 6 | +1 |
Matches
Rio Branco ES
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Feb. 2017 |
DOZ
3 - 1
RIO
14%
19%
67%
|
47 | 28 | 19 | 0 |
| 29 Jan. 2017 |
RIO
1 - 1
ECT
80%
14%
6%
|
47 | 15 | 32 | 0 |
| 23 Apr. 2016 |
RIO
2 - 1
LIN
50%
25%
24%
|
47 | 45 | 2 | 0 |
| 21 Apr. 2016 |
REA
1 - 0
RIO
48%
24%
28%
|
47 | 51 | 4 | 0 |
| 17 Apr. 2016 |
RIO
1 - 4
DES
48%
26%
26%
|
49 | 47 | 2 | -2 |