Copa do Brasil 1/64
Global 1-3
Tocantinópolis vs EC Juventude analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
13.5%
Win probability
0.63
Expected goals
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.4%
4-1
0.1%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.5%
2-0
2%
3-1
0.7%
4-2
0.1%
+2
2.7%
1-0
6.2%
2-1
3.3%
3-2
0.6%
4-3
0.1%
+1
10.2%
23.5%
Draw
0-0
9.9%
1-1
10.5%
2-2
2.8%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
23.5%
62.9%
Win probability
1.68
Expected goals
0-1
16.7%
1-2
8.8%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
27.2%
0-2
14%
1-3
4.9%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0%
-2
19.7%
0-3
7.9%
1-4
2.1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
10.2%
0-4
3.3%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.1%
-4
4.1%
0-5
1.1%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1.3%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Tocantinópolis
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Jun. 2015 |
TOC
0 - 0
INT
53%
24%
24%
|
34 | 32 | 2 | 0 |
| 30 May. 2015 |
INT
0 - 0
TOC
48%
24%
28%
|
34 | 32 | 2 | 0 |
| 23 May. 2015 |
TOC
2 - 1
GUR
48%
25%
27%
|
33 | 33 | 0 | +1 |
| 16 May. 2015 |
GUR
1 - 0
TOC
47%
24%
29%
|
34 | 32 | 2 | -1 |
| 09 May. 2015 |
GUA
1 - 3
TOC
23%
23%
55%
|
33 | 20 | 13 | +1 |
Matches
EC Juventude
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Apr. 2016 |
GRE
2 - 2
JUV
76%
17%
7%
|
58 | 83 | 25 | 0 |
| 31 Mar. 2016 |
JUV
2 - 2
NOV
53%
25%
22%
|
58 | 56 | 2 | 0 |
| 28 Mar. 2016 |
VER
2 - 1
JUV
30%
27%
43%
|
59 | 52 | 7 | -1 |
| 20 Mar. 2016 |
JUV
3 - 3
GLO
66%
21%
13%
|
59 | 48 | 11 | 0 |
| 13 Mar. 2016 |
JUV
0 - 0
ECS
46%
25%
29%
|
59 | 59 | 0 | 0 |