Tocantinópolis vs Juventude Caxais analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
39.3%
Win probability
1.6
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.9%
3-0
2.9%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
5.3%
2-0
5.5%
3-1
4.5%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
11.7%
1-0
6.9%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
19.7%
23.6%
Draw
0-0
4.3%
1-1
10.6%
2-2
6.6%
3-3
1.8%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
23.6%
37.1%
Win probability
1.55
Expected goals
0-1
6.6%
1-2
8.2%
2-3
3.4%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
19.1%
0-2
5.1%
1-3
4.2%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
10.9%
0-3
2.7%
1-4
1.6%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0.1%
-3
4.8%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.7%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Tocantinópolis
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Jul. 2021 |
IMP
3 - 2
TOC
62%
20%
18%
|
31 | 36 | 5 | 0 |
| 17 Jul. 2021 |
TOC
0 - 0
IMP
30%
23%
47%
|
31 | 36 | 5 | 0 |
| 11 Jul. 2021 |
JCA
3 - 3
TOC
52%
21%
27%
|
31 | 32 | 1 | 0 |
| 03 Jul. 2021 |
TOC
1 - 4
PAL
50%
23%
27%
|
32 | 29 | 3 | -1 |
| 27 Jun. 2021 |
TOC
4 - 2
GUA
27%
25%
48%
|
29 | 39 | 10 | +3 |
Matches
Juventude Caxais
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Jul. 2021 |
JCA
2 - 0
GUA
33%
23%
44%
|
31 | 39 | 8 | 0 |
| 17 Jul. 2021 |
GUA
2 - 1
JCA
65%
19%
16%
|
32 | 38 | 6 | -1 |
| 11 Jul. 2021 |
JCA
3 - 3
TOC
52%
21%
27%
|
32 | 31 | 1 | 0 |
| 03 Jul. 2021 |
JCA
1 - 3
PAR
34%
22%
44%
|
33 | 39 | 6 | -1 |
| 26 Jun. 2021 |
IMP
1 - 1
JCA
59%
20%
21%
|
33 | 35 | 2 | 0 |