Tocantinópolis vs Guarany de Sobral analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
27.2%
Win probability
1.13
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.6%
3-0
1.6%
4-1
0.7%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.5%
2-0
4.2%
3-1
2.5%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
7.4%
1-0
7.5%
2-1
6.7%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
16.6%
25%
Draw
0-0
6.7%
1-1
11.9%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25%
47.8%
Win probability
1.58
Expected goals
0-1
10.5%
1-2
9.4%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
23.1%
0-2
8.3%
1-3
4.9%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
14.5%
0-3
4.4%
1-4
2%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
6.7%
0-4
1.7%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.4%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.7%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Tocantinópolis
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Jun. 2021 |
4DE
1 - 1
TOC
71%
19%
10%
|
30 | 46 | 16 | 0 |
| 13 Jun. 2021 |
PAR
4 - 1
TOC
64%
20%
16%
|
31 | 39 | 8 | -1 |
| 06 Jun. 2021 |
TOC
1 - 1
MOT
22%
24%
54%
|
30 | 43 | 13 | +1 |
| 30 May. 2021 |
PIC
3 - 1
TOC
51%
24%
26%
|
32 | 34 | 2 | -2 |
| 26 May. 2021 |
TOC
2 - 0
PIC
32%
25%
43%
|
29 | 36 | 7 | +3 |
Matches
Guarany de Sobral
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Jun. 2021 |
GUA
2 - 1
PAL
61%
21%
18%
|
39 | 32 | 7 | 0 |
| 12 Jun. 2021 |
MOT
0 - 2
GUA
63%
21%
16%
|
38 | 43 | 5 | +1 |
| 05 Jun. 2021 |
GUA
1 - 0
PAR
36%
26%
38%
|
37 | 40 | 3 | +1 |
| 17 Mar. 2021 |
GUA
1 - 5
CSA
7%
19%
74%
|
38 | 68 | 30 | -1 |
| 07 Mar. 2021 |
ICA
2 - 2
GUA
51%
23%
26%
|
38 | 37 | 1 | 0 |