Tocantinópolis vs Castanhal analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
32.5%
Win probability
1.2
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.9%
3-0
2.2%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.2%
2-0
5.4%
3-1
3%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
9.1%
1-0
9%
2-1
7.5%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
18.9%
26.3%
Draw
0-0
7.5%
1-1
12.5%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.3%
41.2%
Win probability
1.39
Expected goals
0-1
10.4%
1-2
8.7%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
21.9%
0-2
7.2%
1-3
4%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
12.2%
0-3
3.3%
1-4
1.4%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
5%
0-4
1.2%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.6%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Tocantinópolis
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 May. 2022 |
4DE
2 - 2
TOC
43%
27%
30%
|
41 | 42 | 1 | 0 |
| 14 May. 2022 |
TOC
2 - 0
MOT
30%
27%
43%
|
38 | 46 | 8 | +3 |
| 11 May. 2022 |
ATP
4 - 0
TOC
85%
12%
3%
|
38 | 83 | 45 | 0 |
| 07 May. 2022 |
JCA
0 - 0
TOC
23%
21%
56%
|
39 | 27 | 12 | -1 |
| 30 Apr. 2022 |
TOC
1 - 1
PAC
44%
26%
30%
|
39 | 42 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Castanhal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 May. 2022 |
CAS
0 - 0
JCA
82%
14%
5%
|
47 | 26 | 21 | 0 |
| 14 May. 2022 |
CAS
0 - 0
TUN
32%
25%
43%
|
47 | 51 | 4 | 0 |
| 08 May. 2022 |
4DE
0 - 3
CAS
34%
28%
38%
|
46 | 43 | 3 | +1 |
| 03 May. 2022 |
CAS
2 - 2
FPI
35%
25%
40%
|
46 | 49 | 3 | 0 |
| 23 Apr. 2022 |
PAC
1 - 0
CAS
31%
26%
43%
|
47 | 40 | 7 | -1 |