Tocantinópolis vs União Carmolandense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
58.3%
Win probability
1.91
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.6%
4-0
3%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.3%
3-0
6.2%
4-1
3%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9.9%
2-0
9.8%
3-1
6.3%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.9%
1-0
10.3%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
24%
22.1%
Draw
0-0
5.4%
1-1
10.4%
2-2
5%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
22.1%
19.7%
Win probability
1.01
Expected goals
0-1
5.5%
1-2
5.3%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
12.7%
0-2
2.8%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-32%
+143%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Tocantinópolis
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Feb. 2025 |
AFC
5 - 1
TOC
79%
15%
7%
|
45 | 75 | 30 | 0 |
| 22 Jan. 2025 |
TOC
2 - 1
GAS
65%
20%
15%
|
44 | 29 | 15 | +1 |
| 03 Aug. 2024 |
MEC
5 - 2
TOC
55%
23%
23%
|
45 | 50 | 5 | -1 |
| 27 Jul. 2024 |
TOC
0 - 0
MEC
35%
26%
40%
|
45 | 50 | 5 | 0 |
| 21 Jul. 2024 |
TOC
1 - 0
MOT
44%
26%
31%
|
44 | 45 | 1 | +1 |
Matches
União Carmolandense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Feb. 2025 |
UAC
1 - 0
CAP
39%
24%
38%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | 0 |
| 23 Jan. 2025 |
URO
3 - 0
UAC
66%
20%
13%
|
33 | 54 | 21 | -1 |
| 06 Apr. 2024 |
UAC
2 - 1
TOC
18%
20%
62%
|
30 | 44 | 14 | +3 |
| 30 Mar. 2024 |
TOC
1 - 2
UAC
62%
20%
18%
|
28 | 44 | 16 | +2 |
| 23 Mar. 2024 |
UAC
1 - 1
ARA
46%
24%
31%
|
28 | 25 | 3 | 0 |