Tobol Kurgan vs Ufa II analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
52.4%
Win probability
2.15
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
1.7%
4-0
2.3%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
0.1%
+4
4.3%
3-0
4.3%
4-1
3.5%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
9.1%
2-0
6%
3-1
6.4%
4-2
2.6%
5-3
0.6%
6-4
0.1%
+2
15.7%
1-0
5.6%
2-1
9%
3-2
4.9%
4-3
1.3%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.9%
20.7%
Draw
0-0
2.6%
1-1
8.4%
2-2
6.8%
3-3
2.4%
4-4
0.5%
5-5
0.1%
0
20.7%
26.9%
Win probability
1.51
Expected goals
0-1
3.9%
1-2
6.3%
2-3
3.4%
3-4
0.9%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
14.7%
0-2
2.9%
1-3
3.2%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
7.7%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0.1%
-3
3.1%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+58%
-30%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
5º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
31
1º
6º
6º
29
1º
7º
7º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
7º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
37 | 43 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
37 | 41 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
37 | 37 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
30 | 36 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
31 | 34 |
5º
|
0% | |
|
|
5º
|
31 | 34 |
6º
|
0% | |
|
|
7º
|
29 | 30 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
26 | 29 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
14 | 17 |
9º
|
0% | |
|
10º
|
14 | 17 |
10º
|
0% | |
|
11º
|
13 | 16 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
0 | 0 |
12º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Final Series
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Tobol Kurgan
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Aug. 2023 |
FTM
0 - 1
TOB
5%
11%
85%
|
23 | 5 | 18 | 0 |
| 12 Aug. 2023 |
TOB
1 - 0
FII
18%
18%
64%
|
21 | 34 | 13 | +2 |
| 05 Aug. 2023 |
FKT
1 - 0
TOB
32%
22%
46%
|
22 | 19 | 3 | -1 |
| 29 Jul. 2023 |
TOB
0 - 0
FMA
13%
16%
70%
|
21 | 37 | 16 | +1 |
| 22 Jul. 2023 |
FCC
3 - 0
TOB
67%
17%
16%
|
21 | 29 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Ufa II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Aug. 2023 |
FAS
1 - 0
UFA
12%
16%
72%
|
23 | 12 | 11 | 0 |
| 12 Aug. 2023 |
UFA
11 - 1
FTM
92%
6%
2%
|
23 | 5 | 18 | 0 |
| 05 Aug. 2023 |
FII
5 - 2
UFA
75%
14%
11%
|
23 | 33 | 10 | 0 |
| 29 Jul. 2023 |
UFA
3 - 2
FKT
64%
18%
18%
|
23 | 20 | 3 | 0 |
| 22 Jul. 2023 |
FMA
2 - 0
UFA
79%
12%
8%
|
24 | 37 | 13 | -1 |