UEFA Intertoto Cup Semi-finals
Global 3-1
Tobol Kostanay vs Slovan Liberec analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
38.9%
Win probability
1.26
Expected goals
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.3%
3-0
3%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.3%
2-0
7.1%
3-1
3.4%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11.3%
1-0
11.3%
2-1
8.2%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.8%
27.6%
Draw
0-0
9%
1-1
13%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.5%
33.5%
Win probability
1.15
Expected goals
0-1
10.3%
1-2
7.5%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
19.8%
0-2
5.9%
1-3
2.9%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
9.4%
0-3
2.3%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
-3
3.2%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Tobol Kostanay
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Jun. 2007 |
ZES
2 - 0
TOB
47%
25%
28%
|
76 | 75 | 1 | 0 |
| 23 Jun. 2007 |
TOB
3 - 0
ZES
47%
26%
27%
|
75 | 76 | 1 | +1 |
| 16 Jun. 2007 |
SHA
3 - 1
TOB
45%
27%
28%
|
76 | 76 | 0 | -1 |
| 09 Jun. 2007 |
TOB
1 - 0
KAI
47%
26%
27%
|
76 | 76 | 0 | 0 |
| 26 May. 2007 |
ALM
2 - 1
TOB
38%
28%
34%
|
76 | 70 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Slovan Liberec
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 May. 2007 |
MBO
4 - 0
SLI
45%
28%
28%
|
83 | 79 | 4 | 0 |
| 21 May. 2007 |
SLI
2 - 0
TEP
59%
24%
18%
|
83 | 79 | 4 | 0 |
| 14 May. 2007 |
SPA
1 - 1
SLI
49%
27%
24%
|
83 | 82 | 1 | 0 |
| 09 May. 2007 |
SLI
2 - 2
ZLI
71%
20%
10%
|
83 | 72 | 11 | 0 |
| 06 May. 2007 |
VKP
0 - 1
SLI
31%
29%
41%
|
83 | 71 | 12 | 0 |