Tobol Kostanay vs Shakhter Karagandy analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
46.5%
Win probability
1.43
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2%
3-0
4.2%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
6%
2-0
8.9%
3-1
4.3%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14%
1-0
12.4%
2-1
9%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.9%
26.7%
Draw
0-0
8.7%
1-1
12.6%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.7%
26.8%
Win probability
1.02
Expected goals
0-1
8.8%
1-2
6.4%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
17%
0-2
4.5%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
7.1%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.1%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-2%
-31%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
7º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
24
1º
7º
6º
9
10º
12º
13º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
13º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
3º
|
33 | 44 |
1º
|
52.5% | |
|
4º
|
32 | 42 |
2º
|
22% | |
|
1º
|
34 | 41 |
3º
|
25.5% | |
|
2º
|
34 | 41 |
4º
|
23% | |
|
5º
|
27 | 41 |
5º
|
19% | |
|
|
7º
|
24 | 35 |
6º
|
27% | |
|
8º
|
23 | 33 |
7º
|
33.5% | |
|
6º
|
25 | 30 |
8º
|
34.5% | |
|
10º
|
19 | 27 |
9º
|
21% | |
|
11º
|
16 | 27 |
10º
|
23.5% | |
|
9º
|
20 | 25 |
11º
|
41% | |
|
12º
|
13 | 21 |
12º
|
58% | |
|
|
13º
|
9 | 17 |
13º
|
86% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Champions League qualifying phase (1st r
|
0% | 0% |
|
Conference League knock out round
|
2% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
97.5% | 3% |
|
Relegation
|
0.5% | 97% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Tobol Kostanay
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Sep. 2024 |
FKY
2 - 1
TOB
43%
24%
33%
|
75 | 71 | 4 | 0 |
| 31 Aug. 2024 |
TOB
1 - 1
ATY
43%
28%
29%
|
75 | 74 | 1 | 0 |
| 25 Aug. 2024 |
KAI
2 - 2
TOB
48%
25%
27%
|
75 | 75 | 0 | 0 |
| 18 Aug. 2024 |
ZHE
0 - 3
TOB
31%
27%
42%
|
75 | 69 | 6 | 0 |
| 11 Aug. 2024 |
TOB
1 - 2
KYZ
49%
28%
24%
|
75 | 73 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Shakhter Karagandy
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Sep. 2024 |
FKT
2 - 1
SHA
56%
23%
21%
|
71 | 75 | 4 | 0 |
| 01 Sep. 2024 |
SHA
0 - 0
FKZ
53%
26%
21%
|
71 | 63 | 8 | 0 |
| 24 Aug. 2024 |
ATY
1 - 0
SHA
44%
27%
29%
|
71 | 74 | 3 | 0 |
| 18 Aug. 2024 |
SHA
2 - 3
ORD
35%
28%
37%
|
71 | 75 | 4 | 0 |
| 27 Jul. 2024 |
SHA
0 - 3
KAI
33%
27%
41%
|
72 | 75 | 3 | -1 |