Cup Kazakhstan Quarter-finals
Global 2-1
Tobol Kostanay vs Shakhter Karagandy analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
41.7%
Win probability
1.55
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.9%
3-0
3.3%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.5%
2-0
6.5%
3-1
4.6%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
12.5%
1-0
8.4%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21%
24.6%
Draw
0-0
5.4%
1-1
11.5%
2-2
6.1%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.6%
33.7%
Win probability
1.37
Expected goals
0-1
7.4%
1-2
7.8%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
18.6%
0-2
5.1%
1-3
3.6%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
9.7%
0-3
2.3%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
3.8%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.2%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+3%
-35%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Tobol Kostanay
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 May. 2023 |
KAI
1 - 0
TOB
29%
28%
44%
|
73 | 65 | 8 | 0 |
| 06 May. 2023 |
TOB
2 - 3
KAI
35%
26%
39%
|
73 | 76 | 3 | 0 |
| 30 Apr. 2023 |
AKS
2 - 1
TOB
31%
24%
46%
|
74 | 63 | 11 | -1 |
| 23 Apr. 2023 |
TOB
2 - 2
FCA
44%
26%
30%
|
74 | 73 | 1 | 0 |
| 19 Apr. 2023 |
TOB
2 - 0
AKS
65%
19%
16%
|
74 | 65 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
Shakhter Karagandy
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 May. 2023 |
ATY
2 - 1
SHA
20%
26%
54%
|
76 | 62 | 14 | 0 |
| 07 May. 2023 |
SHA
1 - 0
KYZ
52%
26%
23%
|
75 | 72 | 3 | +1 |
| 29 Apr. 2023 |
OKZ
0 - 5
SHA
45%
23%
32%
|
74 | 69 | 5 | +1 |
| 23 Apr. 2023 |
OKZ
1 - 1
SHA
43%
25%
32%
|
74 | 69 | 5 | 0 |
| 19 Apr. 2023 |
SHA
1 - 0
OKZ
49%
23%
29%
|
73 | 69 | 4 | +1 |