Tobol Kostanay vs Shakhter Karagandy analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
55.4%
Win probability
1.66
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.5%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.3%
3-0
5.9%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.5%
2-0
10.7%
3-1
5.3%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.1%
1-0
12.8%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.1%
24.4%
Draw
0-0
7.7%
1-1
11.5%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.4%
20.3%
Win probability
0.9
Expected goals
0-1
6.9%
1-2
5.2%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
13.6%
0-2
3.1%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
5%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-3%
-32%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Tobol Kostanay
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Mar. 2016 |
TOB
1 - 0
AKZ
52%
24%
24%
|
68 | 64 | 4 | 0 |
| 08 Nov. 2015 |
ZHE
2 - 0
TOB
27%
29%
45%
|
72 | 63 | 9 | -4 |
| 31 Oct. 2015 |
TOB
1 - 0
OKZ
55%
24%
21%
|
71 | 67 | 4 | +1 |
| 24 Oct. 2015 |
TAR
1 - 0
TOB
38%
28%
34%
|
72 | 69 | 3 | -1 |
| 18 Oct. 2015 |
TOB
0 - 0
KAI
62%
22%
16%
|
72 | 65 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Shakhter Karagandy
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Mar. 2016 |
SHA
0 - 0
ZHE
52%
26%
23%
|
67 | 66 | 1 | 0 |
| 12 Mar. 2016 |
AST
2 - 1
SHA
72%
18%
10%
|
65 | 78 | 13 | +2 |
| 08 Nov. 2015 |
OKZ
1 - 0
SHA
50%
25%
25%
|
67 | 66 | 1 | -2 |
| 31 Oct. 2015 |
SHA
3 - 0
TAR
45%
27%
27%
|
66 | 69 | 3 | +1 |
| 24 Oct. 2015 |
KAI
0 - 1
SHA
38%
29%
34%
|
66 | 65 | 1 | 0 |