Q. Europa League Segunda Ronda Final
Global 2-2
Tobol Kostanay vs Pyunik analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
62.4%
Win probability
1.87
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.7%
4-0
3.5%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.7%
3-0
7.5%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.7%
2-0
12%
3-1
6%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19.3%
1-0
12.8%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.3%
21.9%
Draw
0-0
6.9%
1-1
10.4%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.9%
15.7%
Win probability
0.81
Expected goals
0-1
5.6%
1-2
4.2%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
11%
0-2
2.3%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.6%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Tobol Kostanay
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Jul. 2018 |
TOB
1 - 1
FCI
54%
25%
20%
|
76 | 71 | 5 | 0 |
| 19 Jul. 2018 |
TOB
2 - 0
SAM
61%
22%
17%
|
75 | 63 | 12 | +1 |
| 14 Jul. 2018 |
KAI
2 - 2
TOB
35%
30%
35%
|
74 | 70 | 4 | +1 |
| 10 Jul. 2018 |
SAM
0 - 1
TOB
35%
26%
39%
|
74 | 64 | 10 | 0 |
| 05 Jul. 2018 |
TOB
0 - 0
AST
38%
27%
35%
|
74 | 76 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Pyunik
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Jul. 2018 |
VAR
0 - 2
PYU
43%
24%
33%
|
64 | 61 | 3 | 0 |
| 12 Jul. 2018 |
PYU
1 - 0
VAR
50%
23%
27%
|
64 | 62 | 2 | 0 |
| 20 May. 2018 |
SHI
0 - 3
PYU
52%
27%
21%
|
62 | 71 | 9 | +2 |
| 12 May. 2018 |
PYU
0 - 0
ALA
35%
26%
39%
|
62 | 70 | 8 | 0 |
| 08 May. 2018 |
PYU
1 - 3
ARA
75%
17%
8%
|
63 | 49 | 14 | -1 |