Tobol Kostanay vs Kaysar Kyzylorda analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
52.4%
Win probability
1.53
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
2%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.6%
3-0
5.3%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.4%
2-0
10.5%
3-1
4.7%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16%
1-0
13.7%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.3%
25.9%
Draw
0-0
9%
1-1
12.1%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.9%
21.8%
Win probability
0.88
Expected goals
0-1
7.9%
1-2
5.3%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.1%
-1
14.6%
0-2
3.5%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
5.4%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+5%
-4%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
6º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
16
1º
7º
4º
16
6º
12º
8º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
8º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
25 | 46 |
1º
|
49.5% | |
|
2º
|
22 | 44 |
2º
|
24.5% | |
|
3º
|
21 | 42 |
3º
|
23% | |
|
|
6º
|
16 | 35 |
4º
|
16% | |
|
4º
|
19 | 34 |
5º
|
17% | |
|
9º
|
15 | 33 |
6º
|
15.5% | |
|
5º
|
17 | 33 |
7º
|
12.5% | |
|
|
8º
|
16 | 31 |
8º
|
14% | |
|
10º
|
13 | 28 |
9º
|
14% | |
|
7º
|
16 | 28 |
10º
|
22.5% | |
|
11º
|
9 | 27 |
11º
|
16% | |
|
13º
|
7 | 22 |
12º
|
25% | |
|
12º
|
8 | 20 |
13º
|
52% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Champions League qualifying phase (1st r
|
1% | 0% |
|
Conference League knock out round
|
12% | 8% |
|
Mid-table
|
86.5% | 85% |
|
Relegation
|
0.5% | 7% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Tobol Kostanay
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 May. 2024 |
TOB
1 - 0
ATY
50%
25%
25%
|
75 | 70 | 5 | 0 |
| 19 May. 2024 |
SHA
1 - 0
TOB
38%
27%
35%
|
75 | 73 | 2 | 0 |
| 12 May. 2024 |
ORD
1 - 0
TOB
46%
26%
29%
|
75 | 75 | 0 | 0 |
| 08 May. 2024 |
TOB
1 - 0
AST
44%
26%
30%
|
76 | 75 | 1 | -1 |
| 04 May. 2024 |
TOB
1 - 0
ZHE
57%
25%
19%
|
75 | 68 | 7 | +1 |
Matches
Kaysar Kyzylorda
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 May. 2024 |
KAI
1 - 0
FKZ
46%
28%
27%
|
68 | 63 | 5 | 0 |
| 12 May. 2024 |
AST
1 - 1
KAI
62%
22%
16%
|
68 | 75 | 7 | 0 |
| 05 May. 2024 |
SHA
0 - 0
KAI
53%
25%
22%
|
68 | 73 | 5 | 0 |
| 27 Apr. 2024 |
KAI
1 - 0
KAI
25%
26%
49%
|
66 | 75 | 9 | +2 |
| 20 Apr. 2024 |
KAI
1 - 1
ATY
42%
28%
30%
|
66 | 67 | 1 | 0 |