Tobol Kostanay vs Yelimay Semey analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
60.2%
Win probability
1.64
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.9%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.6%
3-0
7.1%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.4%
2-0
13.1%
3-1
4.9%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.7%
1-0
15.9%
2-1
9%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
+1
26.8%
24.3%
Draw
0-0
9.7%
1-1
11%
2-2
3.1%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
24.3%
15.5%
Win probability
0.69
Expected goals
0-1
6.7%
1-2
3.8%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
-1
11.3%
0-2
2.3%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.1%
-2
3.3%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+2%
+55%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
5º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
30
1º
7º
6º
37
1º
9º
4º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
1º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
2º
|
36 | 43 |
1º
|
38.5% | |
|
3º
|
35 | 42 |
2º
|
25% | |
|
6º
|
30 | 41 |
3º
|
16.5% | |
|
|
1º
|
37 | 41 |
4º
|
19% | |
|
4º
|
34 | 38 |
5º
|
22% | |
|
|
5º
|
30 | 37 |
6º
|
33.5% | |
|
7º
|
26 | 34 |
7º
|
41.5% | |
|
8º
|
25 | 29 |
8º
|
44% | |
|
11º
|
19 | 29 |
9º
|
33% | |
|
10º
|
19 | 26 |
10º
|
25% | |
|
9º
|
20 | 25 |
11º
|
40.5% | |
|
12º
|
13 | 20 |
12º
|
74.5% | |
|
13º
|
9 | 13 |
13º
|
96.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Champions League qualifying phase (1st r
|
1% | 21.5% |
|
Conference League knock out round
|
5% | 45.5% |
|
Mid-table
|
94% | 33% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Tobol Kostanay
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Mar. 2024 |
TOB
2 - 0
FKT
39%
27%
34%
|
75 | 75 | 0 | 0 |
| 25 Feb. 2024 |
ORD
1 - 1
TOB
46%
24%
30%
|
75 | 75 | 0 | 0 |
| 21 Feb. 2024 |
TOB
0 - 0
ORD
41%
26%
33%
|
75 | 75 | 0 | 0 |
| 17 Feb. 2024 |
FCA
2 - 4
TOB
53%
23%
24%
|
74 | 76 | 2 | +1 |
| 11 Feb. 2024 |
TOB
0 - 1
SAM
49%
24%
27%
|
75 | 69 | 6 | -1 |
Matches
Yelimay Semey
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Mar. 2024 |
FKY
0 - 0
ATY
37%
28%
36%
|
59 | 67 | 8 | 0 |
| 18 Feb. 2024 |
FKL
1 - 0
FKY
22%
21%
57%
|
59 | 52 | 7 | 0 |
| 17 Feb. 2024 |
FKY
0 - 4
ORD
22%
22%
56%
|
59 | 75 | 16 | 0 |
| 11 Feb. 2024 |
DIN
2 - 1
FKY
84%
11%
5%
|
59 | 79 | 20 | 0 |
| 07 Feb. 2024 |
FKY
1 - 1
MET
42%
23%
35%
|
59 | 57 | 2 | 0 |