Tobermore United vs Queens University Belfast analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
16.5%
Win probability
0.99
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.3%
3-0
0.7%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.2%
2-0
2.2%
3-1
1.5%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
0.1%
+2
4.1%
1-0
4.4%
2-1
4.6%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
10.9%
20%
Draw
0-0
4.5%
1-1
9.3%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
20%
63.5%
Win probability
2.13
Expected goals
0-1
9.5%
1-2
9.9%
2-3
3.5%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
23.5%
0-2
10.1%
1-3
7%
2-4
1.8%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
19.2%
0-3
7.1%
1-4
3.7%
2-5
0.8%
3-6
0.1%
-3
11.7%
0-4
3.8%
1-5
1.6%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
5.7%
0-5
1.6%
1-6
0.6%
2-7
0.1%
-5
2.3%
0-6
0.6%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
0.8%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-14%
-37%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
7º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
25
2º
8º
8º
45
3º
7º
3º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
2º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
53 | 57 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
44 | 47 |
2º
|
78% | |
|
|
2º
|
45 | 45 |
3º
|
78% | |
|
4º
|
35 | 39 |
4º
|
99% | |
|
5º
|
29 | 32 |
5º
|
80.5% | |
|
6º
|
27 | 28 |
6º
|
30.5% | |
|
8º
|
24 | 27 |
7º
|
25.5% | |
|
|
7º
|
25 | 26 |
8º
|
41.5% | |
|
10º
|
20 | 23 |
9º
|
65.5% | |
|
9º
|
21 | 21 |
10º
|
75% | |
|
11º
|
17 | 18 |
11º
|
88.5% | |
|
12º
|
11 | 14 |
12º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion play-offs
|
32% | 100% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
68% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Tobermore United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Aug. 2022 |
ARC
0 - 4
TOB
84%
11%
5%
|
22 | 45 | 23 | 0 |
| 06 Aug. 2022 |
TOB
1 - 3
BAN
13%
19%
68%
|
23 | 47 | 24 | -1 |
| 26 Jul. 2022 |
TOB
1 - 3
BAL
7%
15%
78%
|
23 | 63 | 40 | 0 |
| 03 May. 2022 |
LIS
6 - 1
TOB
77%
14%
9%
|
24 | 39 | 15 | -1 |
| 30 Apr. 2022 |
MOY
2 - 2
TOB
72%
16%
12%
|
23 | 34 | 11 | +1 |
Matches
Queens University Belfast
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Apr. 2022 |
QUB
2 - 3
ARD
38%
24%
38%
|
44 | 47 | 3 | 0 |
| 23 Apr. 2022 |
QUB
2 - 2
BAL
54%
22%
24%
|
44 | 41 | 3 | 0 |
| 19 Apr. 2022 |
QUB
1 - 2
DUN
28%
24%
48%
|
44 | 52 | 8 | 0 |
| 16 Apr. 2022 |
INS
3 - 2
QUB
44%
25%
31%
|
45 | 43 | 2 | -1 |
| 09 Apr. 2022 |
KNO
0 - 2
QUB
36%
24%
40%
|
44 | 36 | 8 | +1 |