Tobermore United vs Bangor analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
7.9%
Win probability
0.63
Expected goals
4-0
<0%
+4
<0%
3-0
0.2%
4-1
0.1%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.3%
2-0
1%
3-1
0.5%
4-2
0.1%
+2
1.5%
1-0
3.1%
2-1
2.3%
3-2
0.6%
4-3
0.1%
+1
6%
15.5%
Draw
0-0
4.9%
1-1
7.4%
2-2
2.8%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
15.5%
76.5%
Win probability
2.39
Expected goals
0-1
11.7%
1-2
8.8%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
23%
0-2
14%
1-3
7%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.1%
-2
22.4%
0-3
11.1%
1-4
4.2%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
-3
16%
0-4
6.6%
1-5
2%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
8.9%
0-5
3.2%
1-6
0.8%
2-7
0.1%
-5
4%
0-6
1.3%
1-7
0.3%
2-8
0%
-6
1.6%
0-7
0.4%
1-8
0.1%
-7
0.5%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+16%
+13%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
7º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
25
2º
8º
8º
53
1º
3º
1º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
1º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
|
1º
|
53 | 57 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
44 | 47 |
2º
|
78% | |
|
2º
|
45 | 45 |
3º
|
78% | |
|
4º
|
35 | 39 |
4º
|
99% | |
|
5º
|
29 | 32 |
5º
|
80.5% | |
|
6º
|
27 | 28 |
6º
|
30.5% | |
|
8º
|
24 | 27 |
7º
|
25.5% | |
|
|
7º
|
25 | 26 |
8º
|
41.5% | |
|
10º
|
20 | 23 |
9º
|
65.5% | |
|
9º
|
21 | 21 |
10º
|
75% | |
|
11º
|
17 | 18 |
11º
|
88.5% | |
|
12º
|
11 | 14 |
12º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion play-offs
|
32% | 100% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
68% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Tobermore United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Jan. 2023 |
TOB
0 - 5
LIM
14%
20%
66%
|
29 | 47 | 18 | 0 |
| 14 Jan. 2023 |
QUB
2 - 1
TOB
82%
12%
6%
|
30 | 46 | 16 | -1 |
| 07 Jan. 2023 |
TOB
3 - 3
ARC
27%
22%
52%
|
29 | 38 | 9 | +1 |
| 02 Jan. 2023 |
BRF
2 - 1
TOB
84%
11%
5%
|
29 | 50 | 21 | 0 |
| 03 Dec. 2022 |
TOB
4 - 0
PSN
55%
20%
25%
|
28 | 24 | 4 | +1 |
Matches
Bangor
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Jan. 2023 |
PSN
1 - 2
BAN
7%
14%
79%
|
53 | 23 | 30 | 0 |
| 14 Jan. 2023 |
BAN
1 - 0
MOY
69%
18%
13%
|
53 | 44 | 9 | 0 |
| 07 Jan. 2023 |
BAN
4 - 0
TRF
92%
6%
2%
|
53 | 11 | 42 | 0 |
| 02 Jan. 2023 |
LIS
0 - 5
BAN
13%
19%
68%
|
52 | 36 | 16 | +1 |
| 17 Dec. 2022 |
BAN
4 - 0
BAN
64%
19%
16%
|
51 | 45 | 6 | +1 |