Tlemcen vs USM Alger analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
45.3%
Win probability
1.37
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.8%
3-0
4%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.6%
2-0
8.8%
3-1
4%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.5%
1-0
12.8%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.8%
27.3%
Draw
0-0
9.4%
1-1
12.8%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.3%
27.4%
Win probability
1
Expected goals
0-1
9.4%
1-2
6.4%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
17.4%
0-2
4.7%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
7.2%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Tlemcen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Jan. 2010 |
MSP
1 - 1
TLE
31%
30%
39%
|
69 | 58 | 11 | 0 |
| 26 Dec. 2009 |
TLE
4 - 0
CRA
78%
15%
7%
|
69 | 7 | 62 | 0 |
| 25 Dec. 2009 |
TLE
1 - 0
CRB
79%
15%
6%
|
69 | 8 | 61 | 0 |
| 22 Dec. 2009 |
SET
0 - 1
TLE
62%
23%
15%
|
68 | 75 | 7 | +1 |
| 15 Dec. 2009 |
BEL
1 - 0
TLE
45%
30%
26%
|
69 | 69 | 0 | -1 |
Matches
USM Alger
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Jan. 2010 |
USM
6 - 0
CAB
63%
23%
14%
|
70 | 63 | 7 | 0 |
| 25 Dec. 2009 |
USM
4 - 1
ORA
58%
24%
19%
|
69 | 65 | 4 | +1 |
| 15 Dec. 2009 |
USM
1 - 1
ORA
59%
24%
17%
|
69 | 65 | 4 | 0 |
| 11 Dec. 2009 |
HUS
1 - 2
USM
40%
28%
31%
|
69 | 65 | 4 | 0 |
| 04 Dec. 2009 |
USM
0 - 0
HAR
60%
24%
16%
|
69 | 64 | 5 | 0 |