TJK Legion vs Vaprus Pärnu analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
85.8%
Win probability
3.19
Expected goals
10-0
0.1%
+10
0.1%
9-0
0.2%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.2%
8-0
0.6%
9-1
0.1%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.7%
7-0
1.4%
8-1
0.4%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.8%
6-0
3.1%
7-1
0.9%
8-2
0.1%
+6
4.2%
5-0
5.9%
6-1
2.1%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
8.3%
4-0
9.2%
5-1
3.9%
6-2
0.7%
7-3
0.1%
+4
13.8%
3-0
11.5%
4-1
6.1%
5-2
1.3%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
19%
2-0
10.8%
3-1
7.6%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.7%
1-0
6.8%
2-1
7.1%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
16.9%
9.6%
Draw
0-0
2.1%
1-1
4.5%
2-2
2.4%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
0.1%
0
9.6%
4.6%
Win probability
0.66
Expected goals
0-1
1.4%
1-2
1.5%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0.1%
-1
3.5%
0-2
0.5%
1-3
0.3%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
0.9%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+36%
-8%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
TJK Legion
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Nov. 2018 |
TJK
3 - 1
NOM
62%
18%
20%
|
56 | 49 | 7 | 0 |
| 03 Nov. 2018 |
TJK
4 - 3
FCP
71%
17%
12%
|
55 | 48 | 7 | +1 |
| 28 Oct. 2018 |
FLO
0 - 7
TJK
5%
11%
84%
|
55 | 19 | 36 | 0 |
| 20 Oct. 2018 |
VOR
3 - 1
TJK
17%
21%
62%
|
56 | 42 | 14 | -1 |
| 07 Oct. 2018 |
TJK
7 - 0
PAI
92%
6%
2%
|
56 | 26 | 30 | 0 |
Matches
Vaprus Pärnu
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Jan. 2019 |
TAL
6 - 2
PAR
78%
14%
8%
|
30 | 53 | 23 | 0 |
| 10 Nov. 2018 |
KUR
2 - 1
PAR
84%
9%
7%
|
31 | 39 | 8 | -1 |
| 02 Nov. 2018 |
PAR
0 - 5
KAL
7%
16%
77%
|
31 | 79 | 48 | 0 |
| 27 Oct. 2018 |
TAL
5 - 0
PAR
84%
11%
5%
|
31 | 53 | 22 | 0 |
| 23 Oct. 2018 |
PAR
0 - 6
FLO
2%
8%
90%
|
32 | 79 | 47 | -1 |