TJK Legion vs Vaprus Pärnu analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
50.2%
Win probability
2.02
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
1.4%
4-0
2.1%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.7%
3-0
4.2%
4-1
3.1%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
8.4%
2-0
6.2%
3-1
6.1%
4-2
2.3%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
15.1%
1-0
6.1%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
4.5%
4-3
1.1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.1%
21.5%
Draw
0-0
3%
1-1
9%
2-2
6.7%
3-3
2.2%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
21.5%
28.2%
Win probability
1.48
Expected goals
0-1
4.5%
1-2
6.7%
2-3
3.3%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
15.4%
0-2
3.3%
1-3
3.3%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
8.1%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0.1%
-3
3.3%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+30%
-9%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
TJK Legion
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Jul. 2011 |
WAR
3 - 1
TJK
58%
20%
23%
|
34 | 32 | 2 | 0 |
| 03 Jul. 2011 |
TJK
1 - 3
TIN
26%
23%
52%
|
35 | 50 | 15 | -1 |
| 22 Jun. 2011 |
FCP
3 - 3
TJK
77%
14%
9%
|
35 | 50 | 15 | 0 |
| 19 Jun. 2011 |
TJK
1 - 2
KIV
26%
22%
52%
|
36 | 48 | 12 | -1 |
| 15 Jun. 2011 |
LOT
3 - 1
TJK
67%
18%
15%
|
36 | 41 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Vaprus Pärnu
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Jul. 2011 |
PAR
1 - 3
TIN
29%
23%
49%
|
36 | 50 | 14 | 0 |
| 03 Jul. 2011 |
PAR
1 - 3
KIV
26%
22%
52%
|
37 | 48 | 11 | -1 |
| 22 Jun. 2011 |
FLO
1 - 1
PAR
76%
15%
9%
|
37 | 54 | 17 | 0 |
| 15 Jun. 2011 |
WAR
2 - 3
PAR
50%
22%
28%
|
36 | 33 | 3 | +1 |
| 12 Jun. 2011 |
PAR
2 - 3
FCP
30%
23%
48%
|
36 | 49 | 13 | 0 |