TJK Legion vs Vaprus Pärnu analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
58.2%
Win probability
2.14
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
2%
4-0
3%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
5%
3-0
5.6%
4-1
3.7%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
10.4%
2-0
7.9%
3-1
6.9%
4-2
2.3%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.5%
1-0
7.4%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
4.2%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
22.4%
20.5%
Draw
0-0
3.5%
1-1
9.1%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
20.5%
21.3%
Win probability
1.23
Expected goals
0-1
4.3%
1-2
5.6%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
12.8%
0-2
2.6%
1-3
2.3%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
5.8%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+2%
-9%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
TJK Legion
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Apr. 2011 |
TAL
3 - 0
TJK
70%
17%
13%
|
40 | 48 | 8 | 0 |
| 10 Apr. 2011 |
TJK
0 - 0
LEV
12%
20%
68%
|
39 | 68 | 29 | +1 |
| 03 Apr. 2011 |
FLO
4 - 2
TJK
70%
17%
12%
|
40 | 51 | 11 | -1 |
| 23 Mar. 2011 |
TJK
3 - 3
LOT
48%
23%
29%
|
40 | 43 | 3 | 0 |
| 20 Mar. 2011 |
KIV
1 - 2
TJK
73%
16%
12%
|
39 | 48 | 9 | +1 |
Matches
Vaprus Pärnu
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Apr. 2011 |
LEV
1 - 1
PAR
88%
9%
3%
|
35 | 68 | 33 | 0 |
| 10 Apr. 2011 |
PAR
0 - 0
LOT
41%
24%
36%
|
35 | 43 | 8 | 0 |
| 03 Apr. 2011 |
FCP
1 - 1
PAR
75%
15%
10%
|
35 | 49 | 14 | 0 |
| 23 Mar. 2011 |
PAR
0 - 0
WAR
55%
21%
25%
|
35 | 37 | 2 | 0 |
| 20 Mar. 2011 |
TAL
0 - 0
PAR
72%
16%
12%
|
34 | 46 | 12 | +1 |