TJK Legion vs Vaprus Pärnu analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
40.4%
Win probability
1.67
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.1%
3-0
3%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
5.6%
2-0
5.5%
3-1
4.8%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
12.1%
1-0
6.6%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
3.7%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
19.8%
23.3%
Draw
0-0
3.9%
1-1
10.3%
2-2
6.7%
3-3
1.9%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
23.3%
36.3%
Win probability
1.57
Expected goals
0-1
6.2%
1-2
8.1%
2-3
3.5%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
-1
18.6%
0-2
4.8%
1-3
4.2%
2-4
1.4%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
10.7%
0-3
2.5%
1-4
1.7%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0.1%
-3
4.7%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.6%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+5%
+4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
TJK Legion
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Sep. 2010 |
AJA
3 - 1
TJK
80%
13%
7%
|
39 | 57 | 18 | 0 |
| 29 Aug. 2010 |
TJK
0 - 0
AJA
22%
23%
55%
|
38 | 57 | 19 | +1 |
| 22 Aug. 2010 |
PAR
2 - 2
TJK
67%
18%
15%
|
38 | 42 | 4 | 0 |
| 15 Aug. 2010 |
TJK
1 - 1
TAL
33%
24%
43%
|
37 | 47 | 10 | +1 |
| 08 Aug. 2010 |
JOH
4 - 0
TJK
45%
24%
31%
|
39 | 37 | 2 | -2 |
Matches
Vaprus Pärnu
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Sep. 2010 |
PAR
4 - 1
JOH
64%
19%
17%
|
42 | 41 | 1 | 0 |
| 29 Aug. 2010 |
JOH
1 - 2
PAR
47%
23%
30%
|
41 | 42 | 1 | +1 |
| 25 Aug. 2010 |
PAR
0 - 3
FLO
36%
24%
40%
|
42 | 50 | 8 | -1 |
| 22 Aug. 2010 |
PAR
2 - 2
TJK
67%
18%
15%
|
42 | 38 | 4 | 0 |
| 01 Aug. 2010 |
LEV
6 - 0
PAR
83%
12%
5%
|
42 | 69 | 27 | 0 |