TJK Legion vs Vaprus Pärnu analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
66.8%
Win probability
2.25
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1%
5-0
2%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.8%
4-0
4.4%
5-1
1.9%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.6%
3-0
7.8%
4-1
4.1%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
12.9%
2-0
10.4%
3-1
7.3%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
20%
1-0
9.2%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.2%
18.7%
Draw
0-0
4.1%
1-1
8.7%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
18.7%
14.5%
Win probability
0.95
Expected goals
0-1
3.9%
1-2
4.1%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
9.8%
0-2
1.8%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.5%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+11%
+22%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
TJK Legion
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 May. 2009 |
FLO
4 - 2
TJK
44%
25%
31%
|
54 | 50 | 4 | 0 |
| 17 May. 2009 |
TJK
3 - 1
TUL
74%
17%
10%
|
54 | 39 | 15 | 0 |
| 10 May. 2009 |
LEV
1 - 1
TJK
74%
16%
10%
|
54 | 65 | 11 | 0 |
| 03 May. 2009 |
TJK
0 - 6
LEV
30%
26%
44%
|
55 | 64 | 9 | -1 |
| 26 Apr. 2009 |
TUL
3 - 1
TJK
27%
25%
48%
|
56 | 39 | 17 | -1 |
Matches
Vaprus Pärnu
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 May. 2009 |
PAR
1 - 0
LOT
53%
22%
25%
|
41 | 44 | 3 | 0 |
| 17 May. 2009 |
RAK
1 - 5
PAR
57%
21%
22%
|
38 | 44 | 6 | +3 |
| 10 May. 2009 |
PAR
0 - 2
WAR
48%
23%
29%
|
40 | 45 | 5 | -2 |
| 03 May. 2009 |
WAR
1 - 3
PAR
65%
19%
16%
|
38 | 46 | 8 | +2 |
| 26 Apr. 2009 |
PAR
2 - 1
RAK
46%
23%
32%
|
37 | 44 | 7 | +1 |