TJK Legion vs Paide II analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
33.1%
Win probability
1.67
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.6%
3-0
2%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
4.4%
2-0
3.6%
3-1
4%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
9.7%
1-0
4.4%
2-1
7.2%
3-2
4%
4-3
1.1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
16.8%
21.6%
Draw
0-0
2.6%
1-1
8.6%
2-2
7.1%
3-3
2.6%
4-4
0.5%
5-5
0.1%
0
21.5%
45.4%
Win probability
1.98
Expected goals
0-1
5.2%
1-2
8.5%
2-3
4.7%
3-4
1.3%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
19.9%
0-2
5.1%
1-3
5.6%
2-4
2.3%
3-5
0.5%
4-6
0.1%
-2
13.6%
0-3
3.4%
1-4
2.8%
2-5
0.9%
3-6
0.2%
4-7
0%
-3
7.2%
0-4
1.7%
1-5
1.1%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
3.1%
0-5
0.7%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0.1%
3-8
0%
-5
1.1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-16%
-5%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
9º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
21
4º
10º
9º
41
3º
10º
7º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
7º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
90 | 90 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
71 | 71 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
69 | 69 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
57 | 57 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
55 | 55 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
52 | 52 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
|
7º
|
41 | 41 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
40 | 40 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
|
9º
|
21 | 21 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
20 | 20 |
10º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 100% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
100% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
TJK Legion
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Oct. 2023 |
TJK
0 - 5
NOM
5%
12%
83%
|
41 | 66 | 25 | 0 |
| 28 Sep. 2023 |
FLO
2 - 1
TJK
85%
10%
5%
|
41 | 59 | 18 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 2023 |
VJK
3 - 3
TJK
73%
18%
10%
|
40 | 61 | 21 | +1 |
| 20 Sep. 2023 |
TJK
1 - 3
TAM
14%
18%
68%
|
41 | 58 | 17 | -1 |
| 16 Sep. 2023 |
TJK
1 - 1
JKJ
83%
10%
6%
|
41 | 27 | 14 | 0 |
Matches
Paide II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Oct. 2023 |
PAI
1 - 3
JKJ
86%
10%
5%
|
45 | 29 | 16 | 0 |
| 28 Sep. 2023 |
FCE
1 - 0
PAI
47%
22%
31%
|
46 | 48 | 2 | -1 |
| 22 Sep. 2023 |
PAI
1 - 8
NOM
9%
15%
76%
|
46 | 65 | 19 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 2023 |
LEV
2 - 2
PAI
67%
19%
15%
|
46 | 58 | 12 | 0 |
| 26 Aug. 2023 |
FCT
7 - 1
PAI
56%
21%
23%
|
47 | 52 | 5 | -1 |