Velvary vs Pardubice analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
19.5%
Win probability
1.03
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.4%
3-0
0.9%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
1.5%
2-0
2.7%
3-1
1.8%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
0.1%
+2
5%
1-0
5.2%
2-1
5.2%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
12.5%
21.6%
Draw
0-0
5%
1-1
10.2%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
21.6%
58.9%
Win probability
1.96
Expected goals
0-1
9.8%
1-2
9.9%
2-3
3.4%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
23.7%
0-2
9.6%
1-3
6.5%
2-4
1.6%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
18%
0-3
6.3%
1-4
3.2%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
-3
10.2%
0-4
3.1%
1-5
1.2%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
4.6%
0-5
1.2%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0.1%
-5
1.7%
0-6
0.4%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.5%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Velvary
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Sep. 2023 |
SOK
1 - 0
VEL
43%
24%
33%
|
54 | 53 | 1 | 0 |
| 20 Sep. 2023 |
VEL
1 - 1
FCV
20%
20%
60%
|
54 | 61 | 7 | 0 |
| 16 Sep. 2023 |
VEL
1 - 1
FKP
79%
15%
7%
|
54 | 35 | 19 | 0 |
| 09 Sep. 2023 |
KOL
0 - 4
VEL
28%
24%
49%
|
53 | 44 | 9 | +1 |
| 03 Sep. 2023 |
TPC
1 - 3
VEL
15%
20%
65%
|
53 | 38 | 15 | 0 |
Matches
Pardubice
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Sep. 2023 |
VKP
6 - 2
PAR
73%
17%
9%
|
65 | 82 | 17 | 0 |
| 16 Sep. 2023 |
PAR
0 - 1
SLP
14%
21%
65%
|
65 | 83 | 18 | 0 |
| 02 Sep. 2023 |
TEP
0 - 1
PAR
46%
26%
28%
|
64 | 65 | 1 | +1 |
| 30 Aug. 2023 |
BMS
0 - 3
PAR
9%
15%
76%
|
64 | 45 | 19 | 0 |
| 26 Aug. 2023 |
PAR
0 - 1
SLO
22%
27%
50%
|
64 | 76 | 12 | 0 |