Jasenov vs Gerlachov analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
35.7%
Win probability
1.82
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
0.1%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
2%
3-0
2.2%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
5.1%
2-0
3.6%
3-1
4.4%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
10.5%
1-0
4%
2-1
7.2%
3-2
4.4%
4-3
1.3%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
17.2%
21.1%
Draw
0-0
2.2%
1-1
7.9%
2-2
7.3%
3-3
3%
4-4
0.7%
5-5
0.1%
6-6
<0%
0
21.1%
43.2%
Win probability
2.01
Expected goals
0-1
4.4%
1-2
8%
2-3
4.9%
3-4
1.5%
4-5
0.3%
5-6
0%
-1
19%
0-2
4.4%
1-3
5.3%
2-4
2.4%
3-5
0.6%
4-6
0.1%
-2
12.9%
0-3
2.9%
1-4
2.7%
2-5
1%
3-6
0.2%
4-7
0%
-3
6.8%
0-4
1.5%
1-5
1.1%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0.1%
-4
2.9%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0.1%
3-8
0%
-5
1.1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Jasenov
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Aug. 2024 |
TJJ
4 - 2
MSM
28%
20%
52%
|
14 | 18 | 4 | 0 |
| 30 Jul. 2023 |
TJJ
0 - 2
SNI
11%
14%
75%
|
15 | 42 | 27 | -1 |
| 23 Jul. 2023 |
OSP
2 - 4
TJJ
13%
16%
71%
|
15 | 6 | 9 | 0 |
| 14 Sep. 2022 |
TJJ
1 - 3
FKS
6%
13%
82%
|
16 | 49 | 33 | -1 |
| 24 Aug. 2022 |
TJJ
4 - 0
GIR
21%
21%
58%
|
13 | 22 | 9 | +3 |
Matches
Gerlachov
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Aug. 2024 |
TJD
2 - 5
FKG
13%
16%
71%
|
17 | 6 | 11 | 0 |
| 10 Aug. 2022 |
DRU
2 - 2
FKG
10%
14%
76%
|
17 | 7 | 10 | 0 |
| 05 Feb. 2022 |
SPI
4 - 2
FKG
77%
14%
9%
|
17 | 37 | 20 | 0 |
| 11 Aug. 2021 |
FVL
2 - 0
FKG
19%
19%
63%
|
19 | 11 | 8 | -2 |
| 25 Jul. 2021 |
TLU
0 - 3
FKG
10%
15%
76%
|
18 | 6 | 12 | +1 |