Premier League Quarter-finals
Global 4-0
Tivoli Gardens vs Vere United analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
57.9%
Win probability
1.78
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.3%
4-0
2.8%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.9%
3-0
6.4%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.4%
2-0
10.8%
3-1
5.8%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.9%
1-0
12.1%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.9%
23.1%
Draw
0-0
6.8%
1-1
11%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.1%
18.9%
Win probability
0.91
Expected goals
0-1
6.2%
1-2
5%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
12.7%
0-2
2.8%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.7%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+11%
-18%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Tivoli Gardens
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Sep. 2021 |
VER
0 - 0
TRI
28%
29%
43%
|
66 | 57 | 9 | 0 |
| 11 Sep. 2021 |
TRI
1 - 1
MOL
66%
21%
13%
|
66 | 55 | 11 | 0 |
| 04 Sep. 2021 |
TRI
4 - 3
LIO
53%
25%
22%
|
66 | 64 | 2 | 0 |
| 28 Aug. 2021 |
VER
0 - 1
TRI
31%
29%
40%
|
66 | 58 | 8 | 0 |
| 16 Aug. 2021 |
TRI
1 - 1
DFC
48%
26%
26%
|
66 | 64 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Vere United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Sep. 2021 |
VER
0 - 0
TRI
28%
29%
43%
|
57 | 66 | 9 | 0 |
| 11 Sep. 2021 |
VER
0 - 1
CAV
31%
30%
38%
|
58 | 66 | 8 | -1 |
| 03 Sep. 2021 |
MPA
0 - 0
VER
57%
24%
18%
|
58 | 69 | 11 | 0 |
| 28 Aug. 2021 |
VER
0 - 1
TRI
31%
29%
40%
|
58 | 66 | 8 | 0 |
| 09 Aug. 2021 |
VER
1 - 0
ARN
32%
28%
41%
|
57 | 61 | 4 | +1 |