Tivoli Gardens vs Portmore United analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
43.8%
Win probability
1.45
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.9%
3-0
3.7%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.6%
2-0
7.7%
3-1
4.3%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.1%
1-0
10.7%
2-1
9%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.5%
26%
Draw
0-0
7.4%
1-1
12.4%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
26%
30.2%
Win probability
1.16
Expected goals
0-1
8.6%
1-2
7.2%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
18%
0-2
4.9%
1-3
2.8%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.4%
0-3
1.9%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.9%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-2%
+5%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
8º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
27
6º
14º
7º
38
1º
13º
5º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
4º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
52 | 83 |
1º
|
68.5% | |
|
2º
|
45 | 79 |
2º
|
56% | |
|
3º
|
44 | 70 |
3º
|
40% | |
|
5º
|
37 | 68 |
4º
|
31% | |
|
|
4º
|
38 | 64 |
5º
|
35% | |
|
6º
|
34 | 57 |
6º
|
31% | |
|
|
8º
|
27 | 55 |
7º
|
32% | |
|
10º
|
22 | 47 |
8º
|
35.5% | |
|
9º
|
23 | 45 |
9º
|
27% | |
|
11º
|
20 | 42 |
10º
|
22.5% | |
|
7º
|
28 | 40 |
11º
|
25% | |
|
12º
|
19 | 38 |
12º
|
16% | |
|
14º
|
14 | 31 |
13º
|
27% | |
|
13º
|
17 | 30 |
14º
|
42.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Play-offs for the title
|
0% | 3% |
|
Next round
|
47.5% | 86% |
|
Mid-table
|
52.5% | 11% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Tivoli Gardens
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Dec. 2024 |
TRI
5 - 1
LIO
60%
23%
17%
|
64 | 57 | 7 | 0 |
| 22 Dec. 2024 |
MOL
0 - 2
TRI
24%
23%
53%
|
64 | 51 | 13 | 0 |
| 08 Dec. 2024 |
TRI
2 - 4
MON
49%
26%
25%
|
65 | 63 | 2 | -1 |
| 01 Dec. 2024 |
CMF
2 - 3
TRI
31%
26%
43%
|
65 | 52 | 13 | 0 |
| 25 Nov. 2024 |
TRI
6 - 0
HAR
54%
25%
21%
|
65 | 59 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Portmore United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Dec. 2024 |
POR
1 - 1
CAV
31%
29%
40%
|
67 | 70 | 3 | 0 |
| 22 Dec. 2024 |
MPA
1 - 0
POR
49%
26%
24%
|
68 | 71 | 3 | -1 |
| 08 Dec. 2024 |
POR
1 - 1
RUF
61%
24%
16%
|
68 | 13 | 55 | 0 |
| 01 Dec. 2024 |
DFC
3 - 3
POR
44%
26%
30%
|
68 | 64 | 4 | 0 |
| 24 Nov. 2024 |
POR
0 - 0
WAT
39%
29%
32%
|
69 | 68 | 1 | -1 |