Tivoli Gardens vs Montego Bay United analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
49.2%
Win probability
1.54
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.8%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.5%
3-0
4.7%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.9%
2-0
9.1%
3-1
4.8%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
15%
1-0
11.8%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24%
25.5%
Draw
0-0
7.7%
1-1
12.1%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.5%
25.2%
Win probability
1.03
Expected goals
0-1
7.9%
1-2
6.2%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
16%
0-2
4%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
6.6%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-2%
+21%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
8º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
27
6º
14º
7º
44
1º
6º
3º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
3º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
52 | 83 |
1º
|
68.5% | |
|
2º
|
45 | 79 |
2º
|
56% | |
|
|
3º
|
44 | 70 |
3º
|
40% | |
|
5º
|
37 | 68 |
4º
|
31% | |
|
4º
|
38 | 64 |
5º
|
35% | |
|
6º
|
34 | 57 |
6º
|
31% | |
|
|
8º
|
27 | 55 |
7º
|
32% | |
|
10º
|
22 | 47 |
8º
|
35.5% | |
|
9º
|
23 | 45 |
9º
|
27% | |
|
11º
|
20 | 42 |
10º
|
22.5% | |
|
7º
|
28 | 40 |
11º
|
25% | |
|
12º
|
19 | 38 |
12º
|
16% | |
|
14º
|
14 | 31 |
13º
|
27% | |
|
13º
|
17 | 30 |
14º
|
42.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Play-offs for the title
|
0% | 16% |
|
Next round
|
47.5% | 83% |
|
Mid-table
|
52.5% | 1% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Tivoli Gardens
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Dec. 2024 |
CMF
2 - 3
TRI
31%
26%
43%
|
64 | 51 | 13 | 0 |
| 25 Nov. 2024 |
TRI
6 - 0
HAR
54%
25%
21%
|
64 | 58 | 6 | 0 |
| 21 Nov. 2024 |
DFC
2 - 1
TRI
44%
25%
31%
|
64 | 64 | 0 | 0 |
| 17 Nov. 2024 |
VER
2 - 2
TRI
20%
25%
55%
|
65 | 54 | 11 | -1 |
| 12 Nov. 2024 |
ARN
2 - 1
TRI
53%
24%
23%
|
66 | 69 | 3 | -1 |
Matches
Montego Bay United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Nov. 2024 |
WAT
1 - 1
MON
49%
26%
24%
|
62 | 67 | 5 | 0 |
| 24 Nov. 2024 |
MPA
3 - 0
MON
55%
25%
20%
|
63 | 69 | 6 | -1 |
| 17 Nov. 2024 |
RUF
0 - 4
MON
19%
24%
58%
|
63 | 10 | 53 | 0 |
| 10 Nov. 2024 |
MON
2 - 1
DFC
40%
26%
34%
|
63 | 66 | 3 | 0 |
| 27 Oct. 2024 |
MON
0 - 0
POR
38%
27%
35%
|
63 | 68 | 5 | 0 |