Tivoli Gardens vs Montego Bay United analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
69.5%
Win probability
2.08
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
2%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.5%
4-0
4.8%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.4%
3-0
9.3%
4-1
3.4%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
13.2%
2-0
13.4%
3-1
6.5%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21.2%
1-0
13%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.9%
19.1%
Draw
0-0
6.2%
1-1
9%
2-2
3.3%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
19.1%
11.4%
Win probability
0.7
Expected goals
0-1
4.4%
1-2
3.2%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
-1
8.4%
0-2
1.5%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
2.4%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+8%
+38%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
3º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
51
1º
6º
3º
43
6º
12º
7º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
6º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
59 | 59 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
54 | 54 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
|
3º
|
51 | 51 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
49 | 49 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
49 | 49 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
40 | 43 |
6º
|
0% | |
|
|
6º
|
43 | 43 |
7º
|
0% | |
|
8º
|
37 | 37 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
27 | 27 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
25 | 25 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
23 | 23 |
11º
|
85% | |
|
12º
|
22 | 22 |
12º
|
85% | |
|
13º
|
13 | 13 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
7 | 7 |
14º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Play-offs for the title
|
0% | 0% |
|
Next round
|
100% | 100% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Tivoli Gardens
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Dec. 2023 |
TRI
3 - 1
LIM
79%
14%
7%
|
66 | 9 | 57 | 0 |
| 27 Dec. 2023 |
HAR
0 - 3
TRI
40%
27%
33%
|
64 | 64 | 0 | +2 |
| 21 Dec. 2023 |
CAV
1 - 1
TRI
54%
25%
21%
|
64 | 71 | 7 | 0 |
| 17 Dec. 2023 |
TRI
1 - 0
MOL
56%
23%
21%
|
63 | 54 | 9 | +1 |
| 10 Dec. 2023 |
DFC
2 - 2
TRI
54%
23%
22%
|
63 | 66 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Montego Bay United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Dec. 2023 |
MON
2 - 2
HAR
31%
27%
42%
|
54 | 63 | 9 | 0 |
| 27 Dec. 2023 |
MOL
2 - 1
MON
54%
22%
24%
|
54 | 54 | 0 | 0 |
| 17 Dec. 2023 |
MON
1 - 2
DFC
24%
26%
50%
|
55 | 66 | 11 | -1 |
| 10 Dec. 2023 |
SFS
1 - 2
MON
17%
23%
61%
|
54 | 34 | 20 | +1 |
| 03 Dec. 2023 |
MON
3 - 2
POR
22%
26%
52%
|
53 | 68 | 15 | +1 |