Tivoli Gardens vs Humble Lions analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
54.6%
Win probability
1.68
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.4%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.2%
3-0
5.7%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.4%
2-0
10.2%
3-1
5.4%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16.8%
1-0
12.2%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.8%
24.2%
Draw
0-0
7.3%
1-1
11.5%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.2%
21.2%
Win probability
0.94
Expected goals
0-1
6.9%
1-2
5.4%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
13.9%
0-2
3.2%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
5.3%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+16%
-34%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Tivoli Gardens
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Apr. 2022 |
POR
1 - 1
TRI
41%
29%
31%
|
65 | 65 | 0 | 0 |
| 26 Mar. 2022 |
TRI
1 - 3
CAV
47%
27%
26%
|
65 | 67 | 2 | 0 |
| 19 Mar. 2022 |
ARN
2 - 0
TRI
44%
27%
29%
|
66 | 63 | 3 | -1 |
| 12 Mar. 2022 |
WAT
2 - 1
TRI
53%
25%
21%
|
67 | 71 | 4 | -1 |
| 05 Mar. 2022 |
TRI
3 - 1
MPA
40%
28%
33%
|
66 | 71 | 5 | +1 |
Matches
Humble Lions
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Apr. 2022 |
LIO
1 - 2
MPA
30%
29%
41%
|
61 | 69 | 8 | 0 |
| 29 Mar. 2022 |
LIO
1 - 2
MOL
47%
28%
25%
|
62 | 54 | 8 | -1 |
| 21 Mar. 2022 |
DFC
1 - 0
LIO
50%
26%
24%
|
63 | 66 | 3 | -1 |
| 13 Mar. 2022 |
LIO
1 - 0
MON
52%
27%
22%
|
62 | 55 | 7 | +1 |
| 06 Mar. 2022 |
VER
0 - 0
LIO
31%
29%
40%
|
62 | 55 | 7 | 0 |