Tivoli Gardens vs Dunbeholden analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
52.4%
Win probability
1.7
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.2%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.1%
3-0
5.2%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
8%
2-0
9.2%
3-1
5.5%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.1%
1-0
10.9%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.9%
24.1%
Draw
0-0
6.4%
1-1
11.4%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.1%
23.5%
Win probability
1.05
Expected goals
0-1
6.7%
1-2
6%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
14.8%
0-2
3.5%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.2%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.9%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-2%
-16%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
8º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
27
6º
14º
7º
22
7º
14º
8º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
10º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
52 | 83 |
1º
|
68.5% | |
|
2º
|
45 | 79 |
2º
|
56% | |
|
3º
|
44 | 70 |
3º
|
40% | |
|
5º
|
37 | 68 |
4º
|
31% | |
|
4º
|
38 | 64 |
5º
|
35% | |
|
6º
|
34 | 57 |
6º
|
31% | |
|
|
8º
|
27 | 55 |
7º
|
32% | |
|
|
10º
|
22 | 47 |
8º
|
35.5% | |
|
9º
|
23 | 45 |
9º
|
27% | |
|
11º
|
20 | 42 |
10º
|
22.5% | |
|
7º
|
28 | 40 |
11º
|
25% | |
|
12º
|
19 | 38 |
12º
|
16% | |
|
14º
|
14 | 31 |
13º
|
27% | |
|
13º
|
17 | 30 |
14º
|
42.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Play-offs for the title
|
0% | 0% |
|
Next round
|
47.5% | 9% |
|
Mid-table
|
52.5% | 89.5% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 1.5% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Tivoli Gardens
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Jan. 2025 |
WAT
0 - 1
TRI
39%
27%
35%
|
65 | 65 | 0 | 0 |
| 06 Jan. 2025 |
TRI
1 - 1
POR
44%
26%
30%
|
65 | 67 | 2 | 0 |
| 29 Dec. 2024 |
TRI
5 - 1
LIO
60%
23%
17%
|
64 | 57 | 7 | +1 |
| 22 Dec. 2024 |
MOL
0 - 2
TRI
24%
23%
53%
|
64 | 51 | 13 | 0 |
| 08 Dec. 2024 |
TRI
2 - 4
MON
49%
26%
25%
|
65 | 63 | 2 | -1 |
Matches
Dunbeholden
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Jan. 2025 |
DFC
0 - 2
CAV
35%
26%
40%
|
62 | 69 | 7 | 0 |
| 05 Jan. 2025 |
MPA
4 - 0
DFC
57%
24%
19%
|
63 | 71 | 8 | -1 |
| 29 Dec. 2024 |
DFC
2 - 2
RUF
76%
15%
9%
|
63 | 14 | 49 | 0 |
| 22 Dec. 2024 |
DFC
0 - 1
ARN
35%
25%
40%
|
64 | 70 | 6 | -1 |
| 08 Dec. 2024 |
WAT
3 - 2
DFC
44%
27%
29%
|
64 | 67 | 3 | 0 |