Tiverton Town vs Merthyr Town analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
80.8%
Win probability
2.73
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.3%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.8%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.9%
6-0
1.9%
7-1
0.5%
8-2
0.1%
+6
2.5%
5-0
4.3%
6-1
1.3%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
5.7%
4-0
7.9%
5-1
2.8%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
11.1%
3-0
11.5%
4-1
5.1%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
17.6%
2-0
12.7%
3-1
7.5%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
22.1%
1-0
9.3%
2-1
8.3%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.4%
12.8%
Draw
0-0
3.4%
1-1
6.1%
2-2
2.7%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
0.1%
0
12.8%
6.4%
Win probability
0.65
Expected goals
0-1
2.2%
1-2
2%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
4.9%
0-2
0.7%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.3%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-20%
+40%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Tiverton Town
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Dec. 2021 |
HAR
3 - 2
TIV
32%
22%
45%
|
38 | 32 | 6 | 0 |
| 11 Dec. 2021 |
KIN
3 - 3
TIV
30%
23%
48%
|
38 | 32 | 6 | 0 |
| 04 Dec. 2021 |
TIV
2 - 2
GOS
61%
21%
18%
|
38 | 35 | 3 | 0 |
| 27 Nov. 2021 |
EAS
2 - 1
TIV
55%
21%
24%
|
39 | 42 | 3 | -1 |
| 20 Nov. 2021 |
TIV
0 - 0
HAY
20%
22%
59%
|
38 | 48 | 10 | +1 |
Matches
Merthyr Town
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Dec. 2021 |
MER
0 - 5
HAY
9%
15%
76%
|
22 | 45 | 23 | 0 |
| 04 Dec. 2021 |
FAR
3 - 2
MER
83%
12%
5%
|
22 | 42 | 20 | 0 |
| 23 Nov. 2021 |
HAY
3 - 0
MER
88%
9%
3%
|
22 | 48 | 26 | 0 |
| 20 Nov. 2021 |
MER
1 - 2
HAR
23%
22%
55%
|
23 | 34 | 11 | -1 |
| 16 Nov. 2021 |
SAL
2 - 0
MER
80%
13%
7%
|
23 | 36 | 13 | 0 |