Tirsense vs Vila Real analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
42.9%
Win probability
1.4
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.7%
3-0
3.6%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.3%
2-0
7.8%
3-1
4.1%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12.7%
1-0
11.1%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.6%
26.5%
Draw
0-0
8%
1-1
12.6%
2-2
5%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.5%
30.6%
Win probability
1.13
Expected goals
0-1
9%
1-2
7.2%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
18.3%
0-2
5.1%
1-3
2.7%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.4%
0-3
1.9%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.8%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-2%
+28%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Tirsense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Mar. 2016 |
SAL
1 - 0
TIR
58%
23%
19%
|
39 | 46 | 7 | 0 |
| 06 Mar. 2016 |
TIR
1 - 1
COI
54%
26%
20%
|
41 | 36 | 5 | -2 |
| 28 Feb. 2016 |
SOU
1 - 2
TIR
38%
28%
34%
|
40 | 37 | 3 | +1 |
| 21 Feb. 2016 |
AMA
1 - 1
TIR
54%
24%
22%
|
39 | 42 | 3 | +1 |
| 14 Feb. 2016 |
TIR
2 - 0
CIN
38%
28%
34%
|
38 | 42 | 4 | +1 |
Matches
Vila Real
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Mar. 2016 |
VIL
1 - 2
AMA
40%
27%
34%
|
39 | 41 | 2 | 0 |
| 06 Mar. 2016 |
CIN
5 - 0
VIL
36%
27%
37%
|
42 | 41 | 1 | -3 |
| 28 Feb. 2016 |
VIL
2 - 1
SOB
61%
22%
17%
|
42 | 32 | 10 | 0 |
| 21 Feb. 2016 |
VIL
1 - 0
SOU
47%
24%
29%
|
41 | 38 | 3 | +1 |
| 14 Feb. 2016 |
SAL
3 - 0
VIL
47%
24%
29%
|
42 | 45 | 3 | -1 |