Tirsense vs Varzim analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
33.1%
Win probability
1.13
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.8%
3-0
2.2%
4-1
0.8%
5-2
0.1%
+3
3.1%
2-0
5.9%
3-1
2.8%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
<0%
+2
9.2%
1-0
10.5%
2-1
7.4%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.8%
27.8%
Draw
0-0
9.3%
1-1
13.1%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.8%
39.1%
Win probability
1.25
Expected goals
0-1
11.6%
1-2
8.2%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
22%
0-2
7.3%
1-3
3.4%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
11.3%
0-3
3%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
4.2%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.2%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-9%
-7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Tirsense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Oct. 2014 |
OPE
3 - 1
TIR
43%
27%
31%
|
47 | 45 | 2 | 0 |
| 12 Oct. 2014 |
SAN
0 - 0
TIR
40%
26%
35%
|
47 | 42 | 5 | 0 |
| 05 Oct. 2014 |
TIR
2 - 2
FAM
39%
28%
32%
|
47 | 50 | 3 | 0 |
| 28 Sep. 2014 |
TIR
1 - 1
UDL
33%
27%
40%
|
47 | 52 | 5 | 0 |
| 21 Sep. 2014 |
TIR
3 - 0
VIL
72%
19%
9%
|
47 | 28 | 19 | 0 |
Matches
Varzim
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Oct. 2014 |
VAR
2 - 1
EST
12%
21%
67%
|
50 | 80 | 30 | 0 |
| 12 Oct. 2014 |
VAR
3 - 0
RIB
49%
25%
25%
|
49 | 47 | 2 | +1 |
| 05 Oct. 2014 |
AMA
0 - 2
VAR
25%
25%
50%
|
48 | 35 | 13 | +1 |
| 28 Sep. 2014 |
ATL
1 - 5
VAR
36%
26%
39%
|
48 | 41 | 7 | 0 |
| 21 Sep. 2014 |
VAR
1 - 1
VIZ
34%
28%
39%
|
48 | 53 | 5 | 0 |