Tirsense vs Ribeira Brava analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
74%
Win probability
2.15
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.1%
5-0
2.5%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
<0%
+5
3.1%
4-0
5.8%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
7.4%
3-0
10.9%
4-1
3.3%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
14.7%
2-0
15.2%
3-1
6.2%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.5%
1-0
14.2%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.8%
17.5%
Draw
0-0
6.6%
1-1
8.1%
2-2
2.5%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
17.5%
8.5%
Win probability
0.57
Expected goals
0-1
3.8%
1-2
2.3%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0%
-1
6.6%
0-2
1.1%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.6%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Tirsense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Feb. 2012 |
RIB
1 - 1
TIR
27%
26%
47%
|
60 | 47 | 13 | 0 |
| 19 Feb. 2012 |
TIR
1 - 2
MAR
69%
19%
12%
|
61 | 44 | 17 | -1 |
| 12 Feb. 2012 |
MER
2 - 2
TIR
19%
24%
57%
|
61 | 35 | 26 | 0 |
| 05 Feb. 2012 |
TIR
0 - 1
VAR
53%
26%
21%
|
62 | 59 | 3 | -1 |
| 29 Jan. 2012 |
LOU
1 - 1
TIR
18%
24%
58%
|
62 | 35 | 27 | 0 |
Matches
Ribeira Brava
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Feb. 2012 |
RIB
2 - 0
ADO
68%
18%
14%
|
40 | 31 | 9 | 0 |
| 19 Feb. 2012 |
FAF
1 - 0
RIB
68%
20%
13%
|
41 | 51 | 10 | -1 |
| 12 Feb. 2012 |
MIR
1 - 0
RIB
61%
21%
18%
|
42 | 46 | 4 | -1 |
| 05 Feb. 2012 |
RIB
1 - 2
RIB
43%
25%
32%
|
42 | 45 | 3 | 0 |
| 29 Jan. 2012 |
MAR
1 - 2
RIB
57%
23%
20%
|
41 | 46 | 5 | +1 |