Tirsense vs Padroense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
75%
Win probability
2.36
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1.2%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.4%
5-0
2.9%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.8%
4-0
6.2%
5-1
2%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
8.5%
3-0
10.5%
4-1
4.2%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
15.4%
2-0
13.3%
3-1
7.1%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
22.1%
1-0
11.3%
2-1
9%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.1%
16.1%
Draw
0-0
4.8%
1-1
7.7%
2-2
3.1%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
0.1%
0
16.1%
8.9%
Win probability
0.68
Expected goals
0-1
3.2%
1-2
2.6%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
-1
6.6%
0-2
1.1%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.8%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Tirsense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Jan. 2013 |
VIZ
4 - 0
TIR
35%
27%
38%
|
55 | 50 | 5 | 0 |
| 29 Dec. 2012 |
TIR
1 - 1
VIL
76%
17%
8%
|
55 | 36 | 19 | 0 |
| 22 Dec. 2012 |
FAM
3 - 1
TIR
42%
26%
32%
|
56 | 52 | 4 | -1 |
| 16 Dec. 2012 |
TIR
2 - 3
JOA
78%
15%
7%
|
57 | 26 | 31 | -1 |
| 09 Dec. 2012 |
GON
0 - 0
TIR
29%
27%
43%
|
57 | 50 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Padroense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Jan. 2013 |
PAD
1 - 2
INF
59%
21%
20%
|
33 | 26 | 7 | 0 |
| 29 Dec. 2012 |
FAF
2 - 1
PAD
74%
17%
10%
|
33 | 52 | 19 | 0 |
| 22 Dec. 2012 |
PAD
1 - 2
RIB
24%
25%
51%
|
34 | 48 | 14 | -1 |
| 16 Dec. 2012 |
OSL
2 - 0
PAD
59%
23%
19%
|
35 | 45 | 10 | -1 |
| 09 Dec. 2012 |
PAD
0 - 1
MIR
22%
25%
54%
|
35 | 53 | 18 | 0 |