Tirsense vs Nacional analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
50.9%
Win probability
1.51
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.9%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.5%
3-0
5%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.1%
2-0
10%
3-1
4.7%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
15.5%
1-0
13.2%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.9%
26%
Draw
0-0
8.7%
1-1
12.2%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
26%
23.1%
Win probability
0.93
Expected goals
0-1
8.1%
1-2
5.7%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
15.2%
0-2
3.7%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
5.8%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.6%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-17%
+9%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Tirsense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Mar. 1990 |
BMA
1 - 0
TIR
46%
28%
25%
|
67 | 65 | 2 | 0 |
| 11 Mar. 1990 |
TIR
0 - 0
VIT
38%
29%
33%
|
67 | 78 | 11 | 0 |
| 04 Mar. 1990 |
VST
4 - 2
TIR
64%
22%
14%
|
68 | 74 | 6 | -1 |
| 27 Feb. 1990 |
FCP
0 - 2
TIR
91%
7%
2%
|
66 | 88 | 22 | +2 |
| 25 Feb. 1990 |
TIR
1 - 0
BEL
42%
29%
29%
|
65 | 75 | 10 | +1 |
Matches
Nacional
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Mar. 1990 |
NAC
3 - 0
FEI
56%
25%
19%
|
65 | 58 | 7 | 0 |
| 11 Mar. 1990 |
SPB
2 - 0
NAC
58%
24%
19%
|
66 | 70 | 4 | -1 |
| 04 Mar. 1990 |
NAC
0 - 0
MAR
57%
25%
19%
|
66 | 65 | 1 | 0 |
| 25 Feb. 1990 |
SLB
1 - 1
NAC
84%
11%
6%
|
66 | 88 | 22 | 0 |
| 17 Feb. 1990 |
NAC
1 - 1
SCP
16%
22%
63%
|
65 | 87 | 22 | +1 |