Tirsense vs Merelinense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
73.7%
Win probability
2.22
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
1%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.2%
5-0
2.6%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.2%
4-0
5.8%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.7%
3-0
10.5%
4-1
3.7%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
14.8%
2-0
14.3%
3-1
6.6%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.2%
1-0
12.9%
2-1
9%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.2%
17.2%
Draw
0-0
5.8%
1-1
8.1%
2-2
2.8%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
17.2%
9.1%
Win probability
0.63
Expected goals
0-1
3.7%
1-2
2.5%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
6.9%
0-2
1.2%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.8%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Tirsense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Sep. 2011 |
VAR
2 - 0
TIR
33%
28%
38%
|
63 | 55 | 8 | 0 |
| 18 Sep. 2011 |
TIR
1 - 0
LOU
77%
16%
7%
|
63 | 34 | 29 | 0 |
| 04 Sep. 2011 |
CAM
1 - 1
TIR
19%
24%
57%
|
63 | 38 | 25 | 0 |
| 21 Nov. 2010 |
PIN
2 - 0
TIR
18%
21%
61%
|
64 | 46 | 18 | -1 |
| 17 Oct. 2010 |
TIR
5 - 1
SAM
81%
14%
5%
|
64 | 20 | 44 | 0 |
Matches
Merelinense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Sep. 2011 |
MER
1 - 1
ADO
58%
22%
19%
|
42 | 37 | 5 | 0 |
| 18 Sep. 2011 |
FAF
1 - 0
MER
67%
19%
14%
|
42 | 51 | 9 | 0 |
| 04 Sep. 2011 |
MER
0 - 1
RIB
66%
20%
15%
|
44 | 34 | 10 | -2 |
| 27 Jan. 2011 |
MER
0 - 2
VIT
9%
17%
74%
|
44 | 80 | 36 | 0 |
| 12 Jan. 2011 |
VAR
1 - 2
MER
69%
19%
12%
|
43 | 59 | 16 | +1 |