Tirsense vs Maria da Fonte analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
59.9%
Win probability
1.85
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.5%
4-0
3.1%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.3%
3-0
6.8%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.1%
2-0
11%
3-1
6.1%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.5%
1-0
11.9%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.9%
22.4%
Draw
0-0
6.4%
1-1
10.6%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.3%
17.7%
Win probability
0.89
Expected goals
0-1
5.7%
1-2
4.8%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
12%
0-2
2.6%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.3%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+3%
-5%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
3º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
44
1º
6º
4º
25
9º
14º
13º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
12º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
51 | 51 |
1º
|
57.5% | |
|
2º
|
50 | 51 |
2º
|
57.5% | |
|
4º
|
43 | 46 |
3º
|
89% | |
|
|
3º
|
44 | 44 |
4º
|
89% | |
|
5º
|
39 | 39 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
35 | 36 |
6º
|
82% | |
|
7º
|
35 | 35 |
7º
|
82% | |
|
8º
|
31 | 34 |
8º
|
68% | |
|
9º
|
30 | 33 |
9º
|
68% | |
|
10º
|
29 | 30 |
10º
|
76% | |
|
13º
|
24 | 27 |
11º
|
14% | |
|
11º
|
26 | 27 |
12º
|
17% | |
|
|
12º
|
25 | 25 |
13º
|
49% | |
|
14º
|
18 | 18 |
14º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
100% | 51% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 49% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Tirsense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Nov. 2022 |
BRI
1 - 0
TIR
14%
21%
65%
|
36 | 17 | 19 | 0 |
| 30 Oct. 2022 |
TIR
0 - 1
SMA
44%
28%
28%
|
37 | 37 | 0 | -1 |
| 23 Oct. 2022 |
VIL
0 - 1
TIR
31%
24%
45%
|
36 | 27 | 9 | +1 |
| 16 Oct. 2022 |
TIR
1 - 4
LEX
8%
19%
73%
|
37 | 61 | 24 | -1 |
| 09 Oct. 2022 |
TIR
1 - 0
VIA
55%
24%
21%
|
36 | 32 | 4 | +1 |
Matches
Maria da Fonte
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Nov. 2022 |
MAR
1 - 0
VPE
78%
14%
8%
|
28 | 16 | 12 | 0 |
| 30 Oct. 2022 |
MER
1 - 1
MAR
55%
23%
22%
|
28 | 32 | 4 | 0 |
| 23 Oct. 2022 |
MAR
0 - 0
PED
33%
25%
42%
|
27 | 35 | 8 | +1 |
| 09 Oct. 2022 |
AMA
1 - 1
MAR
71%
18%
12%
|
27 | 38 | 11 | 0 |
| 25 Sep. 2022 |
MAR
0 - 0
BRA
67%
19%
14%
|
27 | 21 | 6 | 0 |