Tirsense vs Braganca analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
52.8%
Win probability
1.52
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
2.1%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.7%
3-0
5.4%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.4%
2-0
10.7%
3-1
4.7%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16.2%
1-0
14.1%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.5%
25.9%
Draw
0-0
9.2%
1-1
12.1%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
25.9%
21.3%
Win probability
0.86
Expected goals
0-1
8%
1-2
5.2%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
14.4%
0-2
3.4%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
5.2%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-10%
+99%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
9º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
22
7º
12º
8º
32
1º
7º
4º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
3º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
39 | 56 |
1º
|
84% | |
|
2º
|
35 | 49 |
2º
|
57.5% | |
|
4º
|
31 | 45 |
3º
|
40.5% | |
|
|
3º
|
32 | 43 |
4º
|
32.5% | |
|
6º
|
24 | 38 |
5º
|
25.5% | |
|
5º
|
29 | 37 |
6º
|
26% | |
|
7º
|
23 | 34 |
7º
|
18% | |
|
|
9º
|
22 | 33 |
8º
|
20% | |
|
10º
|
22 | 33 |
9º
|
17.5% | |
|
8º
|
22 | 31 |
10º
|
21% | |
|
12º
|
18 | 30 |
11º
|
16% | |
|
13º
|
18 | 29 |
12º
|
21% | |
|
11º
|
20 | 28 |
13º
|
26% | |
|
14º
|
15 | 23 |
14º
|
67% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0.5% | 11.5% |
|
Mid-table
|
63% | 88.5% |
|
Relegation
|
36.5% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Tirsense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Jan. 2025 |
VSC
2 - 1
TIR
58%
22%
21%
|
45 | 47 | 2 | 0 |
| 12 Jan. 2025 |
TIR
3 - 3
REB
41%
29%
30%
|
45 | 44 | 1 | 0 |
| 05 Jan. 2025 |
TIR
1 - 0
OSA
47%
26%
27%
|
44 | 36 | 8 | +1 |
| 21 Dec. 2024 |
TIR
1 - 0
REB
34%
28%
38%
|
43 | 45 | 2 | +1 |
| 15 Dec. 2024 |
PAR
1 - 0
TIR
40%
27%
33%
|
44 | 44 | 0 | -1 |
Matches
Braganca
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Jan. 2025 |
BRA
2 - 1
PEV
32%
27%
41%
|
37 | 43 | 6 | 0 |
| 12 Jan. 2025 |
VIA
1 - 0
BRA
40%
26%
34%
|
37 | 37 | 0 | 0 |
| 05 Jan. 2025 |
VIL
1 - 1
BRA
52%
25%
23%
|
37 | 41 | 4 | 0 |
| 15 Dec. 2024 |
BRA
1 - 2
JOA
58%
21%
22%
|
38 | 29 | 9 | -1 |
| 08 Dec. 2024 |
BRI
2 - 2
BRA
44%
27%
29%
|
37 | 39 | 2 | +1 |