Tirsense vs Amarante analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
48.5%
Win probability
1.41
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.6%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
<0%
+4
2.1%
3-0
4.6%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.2%
2-0
9.7%
3-1
4.2%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14.6%
1-0
13.8%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.8%
27.1%
Draw
0-0
9.8%
1-1
12.6%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
27.1%
24.4%
Win probability
0.92
Expected goals
0-1
8.9%
1-2
5.8%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.1%
-1
16.1%
0-2
4.1%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
6.2%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.7%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-15%
+15%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Tirsense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Feb. 2015 |
FEL
1 - 1
TIR
62%
21%
17%
|
42 | 47 | 5 | 0 |
| 18 Jan. 2015 |
FEL
1 - 0
TIR
61%
22%
17%
|
43 | 46 | 3 | -1 |
| 11 Jan. 2015 |
TIR
0 - 1
ADO
41%
27%
32%
|
44 | 46 | 2 | -1 |
| 04 Jan. 2015 |
VAR
2 - 0
TIR
64%
23%
14%
|
44 | 53 | 9 | 0 |
| 28 Dec. 2014 |
TIR
1 - 0
SAN
51%
25%
24%
|
44 | 41 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Amarante
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Feb. 2015 |
AMA
1 - 0
ADO
34%
27%
39%
|
38 | 46 | 8 | 0 |
| 18 Jan. 2015 |
VIL
1 - 2
AMA
38%
25%
37%
|
37 | 32 | 5 | +1 |
| 11 Jan. 2015 |
AMA
0 - 2
VIZ
18%
23%
59%
|
38 | 54 | 16 | -1 |
| 04 Jan. 2015 |
FEL
3 - 2
AMA
67%
20%
13%
|
38 | 46 | 8 | 0 |
| 28 Dec. 2014 |
AMA
0 - 0
ADO
35%
26%
39%
|
38 | 46 | 8 | 0 |