Europa League 1/32
Global 0-1
Tirol Innsbruck vs Metz analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
49.2%
Win probability
1.45
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.7%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.2%
3-0
4.7%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.5%
2-0
9.7%
3-1
4.4%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14.9%
1-0
13.4%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.7%
26.6%
Draw
0-0
9.2%
1-1
12.5%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.6%
24.2%
Win probability
0.93
Expected goals
0-1
8.6%
1-2
5.8%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.1%
-1
15.9%
0-2
4%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
6.1%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.7%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Tirol Innsbruck
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Sep. 1996 |
TIR
1 - 1
AUS
57%
23%
20%
|
80 | 78 | 2 | 0 |
| 04 Sep. 1996 |
RBS
1 - 0
TIR
40%
27%
34%
|
80 | 78 | 2 | 0 |
| 24 Aug. 1996 |
LAS
1 - 3
TIR
32%
28%
40%
|
80 | 74 | 6 | 0 |
| 20 Aug. 1996 |
TIR
4 - 1
SSO
68%
19%
13%
|
81 | 75 | 6 | -1 |
| 17 Aug. 1996 |
TIR
3 - 0
GRA
61%
23%
17%
|
80 | 76 | 4 | +1 |
Matches
Metz
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Sep. 1996 |
MET
1 - 0
ASN
71%
20%
9%
|
84 | 71 | 13 | 0 |
| 03 Sep. 1996 |
CAE
0 - 0
MET
33%
28%
39%
|
84 | 75 | 9 | 0 |
| 28 Aug. 1996 |
MET
3 - 1
STR
51%
26%
24%
|
84 | 81 | 3 | 0 |
| 24 Aug. 1996 |
MAR
1 - 2
MET
61%
23%
17%
|
83 | 86 | 3 | +1 |
| 17 Aug. 1996 |
MET
1 - 1
GIR
46%
27%
28%
|
83 | 84 | 1 | 0 |