Europa League 1/64
Global 5-3
Tirol Innsbruck vs Fiorentina analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
28.8%
Win probability
1
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.5%
3-0
1.7%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2.3%
2-0
5.1%
3-1
2.2%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
7.6%
1-0
10.2%
2-1
6.5%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.1%
+1
18.2%
28.1%
Draw
0-0
10.2%
1-1
13.1%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
28.1%
43.1%
Win probability
1.29
Expected goals
0-1
13.1%
1-2
8.4%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
23.5%
0-2
8.4%
1-3
3.6%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0%
-2
12.7%
0-3
3.6%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
4.9%
0-4
1.2%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.5%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Tirol Innsbruck
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Sep. 2000 |
TIR
1 - 0
RAP
46%
27%
28%
|
79 | 80 | 1 | 0 |
| 27 Aug. 2000 |
RAP
2 - 1
TIR
51%
24%
25%
|
79 | 80 | 1 | 0 |
| 23 Aug. 2000 |
VCF
4 - 1
TIR
76%
16%
8%
|
80 | 90 | 10 | -1 |
| 19 Aug. 2000 |
TIR
2 - 0
RBS
48%
25%
26%
|
79 | 78 | 1 | +1 |
| 12 Aug. 2000 |
STR
3 - 0
TIR
61%
20%
19%
|
80 | 80 | 0 | -1 |
Matches
Fiorentina
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 May. 2000 |
FIO
3 - 0
VNZ
71%
18%
11%
|
88 | 79 | 9 | 0 |
| 07 May. 2000 |
INT
0 - 4
FIO
60%
22%
19%
|
88 | 89 | 1 | 0 |
| 30 Apr. 2000 |
FIO
3 - 0
LEC
69%
18%
12%
|
88 | 77 | 11 | 0 |
| 22 Apr. 2000 |
JUV
1 - 0
FIO
62%
22%
17%
|
88 | 91 | 3 | 0 |
| 15 Apr. 2000 |
FIO
3 - 3
LAZ
37%
27%
37%
|
88 | 93 | 5 | 0 |