Tiro Federal Rosario vs Instituto analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
39%
Win probability
1.27
Expected goals
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.3%
3-0
3%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.3%
2-0
7.1%
3-1
3.5%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11.3%
1-0
11.2%
2-1
8.2%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.7%
27.4%
Draw
0-0
8.8%
1-1
13%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.4%
33.6%
Win probability
1.16
Expected goals
0-1
10.2%
1-2
7.5%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
19.8%
0-2
5.9%
1-3
2.9%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.4%
0-3
2.3%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
3.3%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Tiro Federal Rosario
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Feb. 2011 |
BUC
1 - 0
TFE
47%
27%
26%
|
66 | 66 | 0 | 0 |
| 19 Feb. 2011 |
TFE
1 - 2
IRV
49%
25%
27%
|
67 | 66 | 1 | -1 |
| 12 Feb. 2011 |
CHA
0 - 0
TFE
50%
27%
23%
|
67 | 69 | 2 | 0 |
| 05 Feb. 2011 |
MER
0 - 0
TFE
33%
29%
38%
|
66 | 63 | 3 | +1 |
| 11 Dec. 2010 |
TFE
4 - 1
FER
48%
26%
26%
|
65 | 68 | 3 | +1 |
Matches
Instituto
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Mar. 2011 |
INS
0 - 1
ATT
38%
29%
33%
|
74 | 73 | 1 | 0 |
| 21 Feb. 2011 |
PAT
0 - 0
INS
29%
28%
42%
|
74 | 63 | 11 | 0 |
| 13 Feb. 2011 |
BUC
1 - 3
INS
36%
29%
36%
|
73 | 66 | 7 | +1 |
| 08 Feb. 2011 |
IRV
1 - 1
INS
40%
27%
32%
|
73 | 66 | 7 | 0 |
| 11 Dec. 2010 |
INS
0 - 0
CHA
49%
29%
22%
|
73 | 68 | 5 | 0 |