Tiro Federal Rosario vs Deportivo Merlo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
50.6%
Win probability
1.55
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.9%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.6%
3-0
4.9%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.1%
2-0
9.6%
3-1
4.8%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
15.4%
1-0
12.3%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.4%
25.5%
Draw
0-0
8%
1-1
12.1%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.5%
23.9%
Win probability
0.98
Expected goals
0-1
7.8%
1-2
5.9%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
15.4%
0-2
3.8%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
6.2%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.8%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Tiro Federal Rosario
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Jun. 2011 |
FER
1 - 3
TFE
49%
28%
24%
|
64 | 68 | 4 | 0 |
| 05 Jun. 2011 |
TFE
1 - 1
CAI
51%
25%
25%
|
64 | 63 | 1 | 0 |
| 29 May. 2011 |
RAF
1 - 1
TFE
73%
18%
9%
|
64 | 79 | 15 | 0 |
| 24 May. 2011 |
TFE
1 - 2
CEN
33%
28%
40%
|
64 | 74 | 10 | 0 |
| 14 May. 2011 |
SMA
2 - 0
TFE
51%
26%
23%
|
65 | 68 | 3 | -1 |
Matches
Deportivo Merlo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Jun. 2011 |
MER
3 - 2
ATT
31%
30%
40%
|
66 | 71 | 5 | 0 |
| 07 Jun. 2011 |
INS
1 - 2
MER
54%
27%
19%
|
65 | 72 | 7 | +1 |
| 28 May. 2011 |
MER
2 - 2
BUC
30%
28%
42%
|
65 | 67 | 2 | 0 |
| 21 May. 2011 |
IRV
0 - 1
MER
54%
25%
21%
|
64 | 66 | 2 | +1 |
| 14 May. 2011 |
MER
0 - 0
CHA
35%
30%
36%
|
64 | 67 | 3 | 0 |