Tiro Federal Rosario vs Deportivo Merlo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
58.9%
Win probability
1.71
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.9%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.7%
3-0
6.7%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.4%
2-0
11.8%
3-1
5.4%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.2%
1-0
13.9%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.8%
23.7%
Draw
0-0
8.1%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
23.7%
17.4%
Win probability
0.8
Expected goals
0-1
6.5%
1-2
4.5%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
12.2%
0-2
2.6%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
4%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
1%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Tiro Federal Rosario
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Oct. 2009 |
BUC
2 - 0
TFE
35%
28%
37%
|
71 | 61 | 10 | 0 |
| 11 Oct. 2009 |
TFE
1 - 2
BEL
44%
27%
29%
|
71 | 75 | 4 | 0 |
| 04 Oct. 2009 |
PLA
0 - 0
TFE
37%
29%
34%
|
71 | 64 | 7 | 0 |
| 30 Sep. 2009 |
TFE
0 - 0
FER
51%
26%
24%
|
72 | 70 | 2 | -1 |
| 26 Sep. 2009 |
CAI
2 - 3
TFE
39%
29%
33%
|
71 | 66 | 5 | +1 |
Matches
Deportivo Merlo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Oct. 2009 |
MER
1 - 1
CAU
23%
27%
51%
|
63 | 72 | 9 | 0 |
| 12 Oct. 2009 |
DYJ
1 - 0
MER
60%
23%
17%
|
63 | 71 | 8 | 0 |
| 04 Oct. 2009 |
MER
2 - 1
INS
25%
29%
46%
|
63 | 73 | 10 | 0 |
| 30 Sep. 2009 |
ITA
0 - 1
MER
47%
27%
26%
|
62 | 63 | 1 | +1 |
| 25 Sep. 2009 |
MER
1 - 0
ALB
27%
28%
45%
|
61 | 69 | 8 | +1 |